Transamerica ETF Trust
|Number of Estimates|
Trump Might Really Be 'Crazy Like A Fox' On Trade-Fed-Market Nexus
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-13 12:47:19:000
On Wednesday, Bloomberg ran an article featuring a handful of soundbites from Chen Zhao, co-founder of Montreal-based Alpine Macro and a former co-director of macro research at Brandywine Global Investment Management. You can read the piece for yourself, but the gist of it is that Zhao be… read more...
S&P 500 Earnings - Which Sector's Growth Rates Have Seen Less Downward Pressure For Q2 2019
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-13 04:00:00:000
First, let's get to the S&P 500 Earnings metrics missed this weekend: Fwd 4-qtr est: $171.52 vs. $171.47 PE ratio: 16.7x PEG ratio: 3.63x S&P 500 earnings yld: 5.97% vs. last week's 6.23% Y/y growth of Fwd est: +4.7% vs. last week's +4.66% (Source: earnings data from IB… read more...
Reappearance Of 'Crash Phobia' Is Good News
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-12 10:35:53:000
There are many signs that astute investors look for to confirm that a bottom has been made after a market decline. One of the most important signs is the tell-tale increase in investor pessimism as measured by various sentiment polls. But an even more reliable indication that the market is pri… read more...
Don't Be A Hero
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-11 10:16:38:000
The "indefinite suspension" of tariffs on Mexico notwithstanding, trade tensions have not abated in earnest. Risk assets were obviously on the front foot Monday thanks in part to President Trump's decision not to pull the tariff trigger on America's southern neighbor and, naturally, the risk… read more...
Technically Speaking: The 'Sellable Rally' Chart Review
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-11 04:23:25:000
Over the past couple of weeks, we have been discussing a " sellable rally " following the sell-off during the month of May. To wit : "This week we are going to look at the recent sell-off and the potential for a short-term 'sellable' rally to rebalance portfolio risks into. The markets o… read more...
S&P Nears Completion Of Third Lévy Flight Event Of 2019
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-11 02:32:11:000
It's a sign of just how volatile the S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) has become in recent weeks that we're using the phrase "Lvy flight events" to describe the recent changes in the level of stock prices. If you're new to the kind of analysis we do, a Lvy flight is simply describ… read more...
Weekly Market Notes - June 10, 2019
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-11 02:15:00:000
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Here Is Why The Fed's Rate Cuts Won't Have The Desired Effect
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-10 17:56:22:000
On Tuesday, the Fed hinted that it was ready to take action if the US economy started showing signs of weakness. The market cheered and rallied, and we are now only 2% away from all-time highs (as of the time of writing this article). The stock market now expects at least one rate cut, while t… read more...
Top 10 S&P 500 Market Cap Weights - How Have 2019 EPS Estimates Changed?
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-10 06:48:34:000
Since the S&P 500 peaked in late September 2018, the goal of the attached spreadsheet was to give readers a feel for the change in the EPS estimates for 2019, relative to the market action and change in the S&P 500's return. The fascinating metric for me is that the top 10 S&P 50… read more...
Market Commentary - June 6, 2019
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-10 04:45:00:000
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The Powell Put
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-10 04:25:16:000
By Brad Tank, Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income Was last week's bounce for risk assets a mere taste of what's to come if the Fed cuts rates this year? One of my research colleagues came into the office looking a little starstruck last week. He'd just snapped a photo of Federal Re… read more...
E-Mini 500 S&P: Is This A Bull Or Bear Trap?
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-10 02:01:31:000
In our last report published on Seeking Alpha, the sell 2 (S2) level for the E-mini S&P 500 was at 2872. The market was at 2830. The market continued the uptrend and reached a high of 2886.25. Our anticipated target last week was 2872. The weekly range was 2812-2872. The Variable Changin… read more...
Clear And Present Danger
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-09 07:19:36:000
On Friday evening, the Trump administration announced that planned tariffs on all imports from Mexico are "suspended indefinitely". After the president called off the tariffs, the State department posted a joint declaration on its website outlining a series of commitments. The New York Tim… read more...
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-09 04:26:55:000
Torsten Slok at DB updates this lovely graph on occasion. Here's what it means. Fed fund futures are essentially bets on where the federal funds rate will be at various points in the future. Thus, you can read from the dashed lines the market's guess about where the federal funds rate will go … read more...
Should Markets Heed Recession Warnings?
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-09 02:46:36:000
By Edward Perks, E xecutive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions Amid a renewed US-China trade spat and additional tariff tensions between the United States and Mexico, investor concerns about a possible recession have heightened, accord… read more...
What's Behind The Historic Valuation Gap In Equities?
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-09 02:06:35:000
By Carmel Corbett Wellso As sectors ranging from manufacturing to financials experience disruption, the valuation gap between growth and value stocks continues to widen. Director of Research Carmel Wellso explains why careful stock selection is important at this stage of the cycle. … read more...
Sorry Permabulls, It's Not Different This Time - Got Gold?
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-09 01:46:22:000
An inverted yield curve has historically been the most accurate indicator of an impending or concurrent recession. The inversion during late 2006 and most of 2007 is a good example. Studies have shown that curve inversions precede a recession anywhere from 6 months to 2 years. I would argue th… read more...
Recession Anxieties, June 2019
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-08 13:55:23:000
Editor's note: This article was originally published on June 7, 2019 by Menzie Chinn here . Different forward looking models show increasing likelihood of a recession. Most recent readings of key series highlighted by the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee (BCDC) suggest a peak, altho… read more...
Welcome To The Decade Of Slow Economic Growth
via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-06-08 12:52:29:000
The world economy has grown tremendously in the last 100 years driven by multiple factors such as population growth, technological advancements and rapid urbanization, not to mention a healthy dose of inflation (with exceptions) throughout the time. We expect the global economic growth to slow… read more...
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