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AIIQ

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Website: /stocks/aiiq

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Ethical Flags

Longest drawdown: 73 trading days

From: 2018-06-11 To: 2018-09-24

Lowest Point:

Populism: Get Used To It

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-09 11:24:55:000

By Darren Williams Transcript We think populism is here to stay and that it will be a persistent part of the investment backdrop for many years to come. What populism, in particular what the trade tension that we've seen over the last year, does is to alter the mix or the trade-of… read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

Global Investment Outlook 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 14:39:56:000

Cautiously Optimistic Heading Into 2019 Despite the latest escalation in trade tensions and political vulnerabilities in Europe, the narrative of a synchronized global expansion remains firmly intact, while the accommodative monetary and fiscal impulse should allow the expansion to continue … read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part II

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 10:12:23:000

The continued efforts of our research team to identify and quantify the possibility that the capital shift which has taken place over the past 18+ months may be shifting to other assets is in the interest of all global investors. Is there a new, more opportunistic investment that will take awa… read more...

Global Manufacturing PMI Holds At 2 Year Low As World Exports Fall For Third Month Running

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 08:44:02:000

Global manufacturing growth was unchanged from October's 23-month low in November. Exports fell for a third month in a row and the number of countries reporting a deterioration of business conditions rose to the highest since 2016. In a sign that growth may slow further, optimism about the y… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

Zollverein

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 10:08:09:000

"An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war." - Montesquieu Watching with interest the evolution of the Brexit negotiations in conjunction with the tone down stance between Italy and the European Commission surrounding the budget, while waiting for the next G20 and potential US… read more...

Country Stock Markets As A Percent Of World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 07:39:03:000

Below is a look at the percentage of total world stock market cap that each country's stock market makes up. For each country, we show its percentage of world market cap as of today, as it stood on 9/20 when the S&P 500 made its last all-time high, as it stood on election day 2016, and as … read more...

2018 Year-To-Date Country Stock Market Returns

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 07:34:32:000

Below is an updated look at year-to-date stock market returns (in local currency) for 75 countries around the world. 2018 has turned into a red year for equities as the average country is now down 3.75% YTD. Just 20 countries (26.7%) are in the green for the year, while 55 are in the red. As… read more...

The Direction Is (Globally) Clear

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 05:03:44:000

It is definitely one period that they got wrong. Still, IHS Markit's Composite PMI for the US economy has been one of the better forward-looking indicators around. Tying to real GDP, this blend of manufacturing and services sentiment has predicted the general economic trend in the United State… read more...

Global Debt Increase 2018 Vs. Gold Investment: Must See Charts

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 03:59:02:000

Global debt increased at the fastest rate at the beginning of 2018. In just one quarter, total global debt jumped by more than $8 trillion. That is quite surprising as total world debt rose by $22 trillion for the full year in 2017. Thus, the increase in global debt last year averaged $5.5 tri… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Macro Divergences, Warning Signs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 01:27:40:000

In this video, we run through the free weekly email newsletter "The Top 5 Charts of the Week" and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the … read more...

Central Banks To The Rescue? Don't Count On It

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 00:59:18:000

By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on Nov. 26, 2018, in Market & Economic Stocks continued to slide last week, and most major indices are negative for the year-to-date period - some having posted double-digit losses. As I noted in my commentary last week ,… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-27 11:00:55:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 19, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 5.80%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 0.64%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 4… read more...

Investors May Get Some Good News For A Change

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-27 06:40:22:000

By Jeffrey Kleintop Key Points Ominous signs for the world economy may be causing stocks to price in an imminent global recession. However, plunging oil prices, negative third-quarter GDP growth in major economies and the decline in the global manufacturing PMI appear to be isolated,… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - The Return Of Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-22 01:20:05:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the f… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - The Return Of Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-22 01:20:05:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the f… read more...

A Crude Session For Oil

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-21 06:31:13:000

By Stephen Innes Oil markets Whatever the semblance of support was at $55 WTI, was sliced through like a hot knife through butter as a brutal combination of events continue to weigh on prices. At the heart of the matter is the lack of market respect for OPEC rhetoric regarding deep pro… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-20 06:03:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 19, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.80%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 0.64%. In third place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with… read more...

Vanguard sees global growth slowing ahead

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-19 15:36:02:000

Global economic growth should slow, but shouldn't slip into recession next year, Vanguard says in its global outlook summary. More news on: Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury Portfolio ETF, iShares Core U.S. Treasury Bond ETF, BlackRock Enhanced Government Fund, Global news and forex, Financia… read more...

9 In 10 In The Red: Asset Markets YTD Returns Signal Risk Repricing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-18 11:39:37:000

According to a recent research note from the Deutsche Bank, 89% of global macro assets are posting losses on year-to-date basis. This is the highest level of losses in more than a century. Given the scale of financial risk mis-pricing in equities and bonds markets in the post-QE period, we a… read more...

China's Slowdown Will Have Significant Global Effects

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-17 14:16:33:000

By Mickey D. Levy China's outsized growth in the last two decades has lifted it to the second largest economy in the world, a truly outstanding accomplishment (Charts 1 and 2). Its current target for real GDP growth - 6.5% - is above its slowing potential and unsustainable. It's unrealisti… read more...

Short And Sharp: Take Cover, Worse Is Yet To Come

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-16 04:57:46:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors October's slide in global equities erased around $5 trillion of market capitalization; triggered by a perfect storm of a hawkish Federal Reserve, softening US economic data, and negative earnings guidance. Markets have… read more...

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-14 10:13:18:000

While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth. Or should I say, the "supposed growth." The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar of GDP growth have been long gone for more th… read more...

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-14 10:13:18:000

While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth. Or should I say, the "supposed growth." The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar of GDP growth have been long gone for more th… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-13 02:47:22:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 12, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 2.96%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 1.97%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 2… read more...

Trade Downturn Keeps Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-12 03:32:00:000

The following is an extract from IHS Markit's monthly PMI overview presentation. The full report can be viewed at the bottom of this article. Global PMI stuck close to two-year low in October Global business activity grew at a marginally improved rate in October, suggesting the pace of e… read more...

Understanding The Global Recession Of 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-12 02:03:44:000

Isn't it obvious that repeating the policies of 2009 won't be enough to save the system from a long-delayed reset? 2019 is shaping up to be the year in which all the policies that worked in the past will no longer work. As we all know, the Global Financial Meltdown/recession of 2008-09 w… read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

The Link Between Policy Uncertainty And Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-05 06:00:55:000

It seems over the past few years the only certainty has been rising uncertainty, and the folk at Economic Policy Uncertainty have a set of indexes which map this trend out well. Their indicators use algorithms to generate readings based on the flow of news. As the charts below show, there ar… read more...

The Link Between Policy Uncertainty And Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-05 06:00:55:000

It seems over the past few years the only certainty has been rising uncertainty, and the folk at Economic Policy Uncertainty have a set of indexes which map this trend out well. Their indicators use algorithms to generate readings based on the flow of news. As the charts below show, there ar… read more...

The Link Between Policy Uncertainty And Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-05 06:00:55:000

It seems over the past few years the only certainty has been rising uncertainty, and the folk at Economic Policy Uncertainty have a set of indexes which map this trend out well. Their indicators use algorithms to generate readings based on the flow of news. As the charts below show, there ar… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Synchronization Vs. Desynchronization

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-01 05:30:00:000

Global growth has desynchronized this year, while political trends around the world have become synchronous. Brian Giuliano and Anujeet Sareen, members of our Global Fixed Income team, explain how fiscal and monetary conditions in China as well as the evolution of the U.S.-Sino bilateral relat… read more...

Continuously Misidentifying Constant 'Overseas Turmoil' Leads To Constant Everywhere Turmoil

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-01 05:06:59:000

Overseas turmoil continues in October. The Chinese government released its Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI) for both manufacturing and services. Each one came in at a multi-month low. The National Bureau of Statistics calculated that the manufacturing version was just 50.2 this month, the lo… read more...

Time Travel, New Taxes And GE Collapses (Further)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-31 07:05:15:000

Buenos Aires, Argentina On Sunday, I flew back from New Zealand to my chosen home in Argentina. It was the third time that I've crossed the international date line, but only the first time that I've done it from west to east. The experience was somewhat surreal. My plane took off from Auck… read more...

Fear The L

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 06:21:59:000

It's one thing if China registers a low ceiling or Brazil. That wasn't going to be possible this time in the developed world. Europe and the US were finally going to lead. That's what they said last year, anyway. Markets are freaking out about the growing evidence for so many growth ceilings… read more...

Fear The L

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 06:21:59:000

It's one thing if China registers a low ceiling or Brazil. That wasn't going to be possible this time in the developed world. Europe and the US were finally going to lead. That's what they said last year, anyway. Markets are freaking out about the growing evidence for so many growth ceilings… read more...

The Danger Of Elevated Trade Frictions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-27 04:06:28:000

Elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion and is a prime driver of heightened macro uncertainty . The U.S. trade conflict with China is at the heart of higher trade tensions. We find that trade tensions have likely served as a drag on risk assets, e… read more...

The Danger Of Elevated Trade Frictions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-27 04:06:28:000

Elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion and is a prime driver of heightened macro uncertainty . The U.S. trade conflict with China is at the heart of higher trade tensions. We find that trade tensions have likely served as a drag on risk assets, e… read more...

Today's Seismic Shifts And Their Impacts

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-26 11:10:13:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer-Equities; & Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer-Multi-Asset Class A decade after the financial crisis, four key trends are helping to fashion the investment landscape for the next 10 years. The world is u… read more...

Stock Sell-Off Accelerates

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-25 07:34:50:000

Wanaka, South Island, New Zealand The timezone in New Zealand takes some getting used to for a newbie like me. It's 6 P.M. on Thursday as I start typing. That's 6 A.M. in London, 1 A.M. in New York and 8 P.M. on Wednesday in Los Angeles. The world's main markets ground away last night (New… read more...

Chart Of The Week: Death Watch

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-24 00:39:46:000

One relatively obscure technical chart pattern, known ominously as the "death cross", has caught my attention recently. The reason is, if you look across the 70 countries we monitor, almost 80% of markets have seen this omen light up. So, what does it mean for global equities? This week's ch… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-23 04:47:04:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, October 22, 2018. The top performer this year is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.08%. In second place is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 0.95%. In third place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with … read more...

Watches And Casinos Point To Global Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-23 00:35:57:000

The US economy has maintained its robust growth this year but the broader global economy cannot boast the same health. Among many others, indicators like Japanese exports, Swiss exports, and German industrial orders are all either in retreat or decelerating at a significant pace. On top of t… read more...

A Lack Of Inspiration

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-22 03:34:43:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Markets seem to be struggling to find a theme to latch on to, so am I. OK, what now? By the time I get into work, I usually have an idea what the key theme for the day, or the week is going to be. Maybe there is a… read more...

This Week In Money - October 20, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-21 01:59:24:000

Ross Clark Gold, Crude. Gerald Celente China, Gold, Oil, Global Economy. Eric Hadik Market Cycles. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of American Manganese Jim Pettit President & CEO of Aben Resources Produced by Read… read more...

Is The Greatest Bull Market Ever Finally Ending? (Hint: Follow The Money)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 09:39:23:000

The key here is the gains generated by owning US-denominated assets as the USD appreciates. Is the Greatest Bull Market Ever finally ending? One straightforward approach to is to follow the money , i.e. global capital flows: assets that attract positive global capital flows will continu… read more...

Is The Greatest Bull Market Ever Finally Ending? (Hint: Follow The Money)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 09:39:23:000

The key here is the gains generated by owning US-denominated assets as the USD appreciates. Is the Greatest Bull Market Ever finally ending? One straightforward approach to is to follow the money , i.e. global capital flows: assets that attract positive global capital flows will continu… read more...

Asset Allocation Update - October 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 02:26:20:000

Read more … read more...

Asset Allocation Update - October 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 02:26:20:000

Read more … read more...

The Biggest Risk To The Global Expansion

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-18 11:21:43:000

In her inaugural post, Elga Bartsch explains why elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion. Our base case is for ongoing robust global growth, fueled by the U.S. What could change this outlook? We believe surging trade tensions remain the biggest… read more...

Sentiment Time

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-17 12:32:41:000

The one thing the globally synchronized growth narrative had going for it was sentiment. It often had that in surplus. But therein lies a major drawback; are people happy because things are getting better, or do they believe things are getting better because "everyone" says so? There's a diffe… read more...

The U.S. Not Alone In Being Oversold

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-16 05:15:39:000

It is no secret that the US has become extremely oversold in the past week, but this weakness extends well outside of our own borders. With the worst of the selloff occurring last Thursday, declines were widespread and extreme. The table below shows the Overbought and Oversold readings of glob… read more...

This Week In Money - October 13, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-14 01:41:48:000

Ross Clark Stock Market Meltdown. Oil. Danielle Park World Debt, Stock Market Decline, Canadas & Australias Collapsing Real Estate Bubbles. Victor Adair Gold, Rising Interest Rates. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of Ame… read more...

This Week In Money - October 13, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-14 01:41:48:000

Ross Clark Stock Market Meltdown. Oil. Danielle Park World Debt, Stock Market Decline, Canadas & Australias Collapsing Real Estate Bubbles. Victor Adair Gold, Rising Interest Rates. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of Ame… read more...

A Few Additions To The 'Family Album'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 09:36:13:000

I just wanted to add a few more "pictures" as the say in Silicon Valley into what I now call the "Family Album of Markets." There's an ulterior motive for posting these in addition to just making my observations available and that motive is this: I want to make sure this is on the record for p… read more...

A Few Additions To The 'Family Album'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 09:36:13:000

I just wanted to add a few more "pictures" as the say in Silicon Valley into what I now call the "Family Album of Markets." There's an ulterior motive for posting these in addition to just making my observations available and that motive is this: I want to make sure this is on the record for p… read more...

A Few Additions To The 'Family Album'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 09:36:13:000

I just wanted to add a few more "pictures" as the say in Silicon Valley into what I now call the "Family Album of Markets." There's an ulterior motive for posting these in addition to just making my observations available and that motive is this: I want to make sure this is on the record for p… read more...

Global Growth And Optimism Slide To 2 Year Lows, But Prices Rise At Record Rate

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 08:11:53:000

Global economic growth moderated to a two-year low in September in a broad-based slowdown, according to the latest PMI surveys. Business confidence about the year ahead likewise fell to the gloomiest for two years, suggesting growth may weaken further in coming months. Average prices charged … read more...

Global Growth And Optimism Slide To 2 Year Lows, But Prices Rise At Record Rate

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 08:11:53:000

Global economic growth moderated to a two-year low in September in a broad-based slowdown, according to the latest PMI surveys. Business confidence about the year ahead likewise fell to the gloomiest for two years, suggesting growth may weaken further in coming months. Average prices charged … read more...

Global Growth And Optimism Slide To 2 Year Lows, But Prices Rise At Record Rate

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 08:11:53:000

Global economic growth moderated to a two-year low in September in a broad-based slowdown, according to the latest PMI surveys. Business confidence about the year ahead likewise fell to the gloomiest for two years, suggesting growth may weaken further in coming months. Average prices charged … read more...

The Populist Pathology

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 05:14:17:000

The populist pathology is incredibly simple; no one ever takes the blame. Things continually go off-track and officials merely shrug their shoulders and point their fingers. The very idea of accountability is anachronistic. Now that dark clouds are gathering, in the IMF's words , the finger… read more...

The Populist Pathology

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 05:14:17:000

The populist pathology is incredibly simple; no one ever takes the blame. Things continually go off-track and officials merely shrug their shoulders and point their fingers. The very idea of accountability is anachronistic. Now that dark clouds are gathering, in the IMF's words , the finger… read more...

The Populist Pathology

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 05:14:17:000

The populist pathology is incredibly simple; no one ever takes the blame. Things continually go off-track and officials merely shrug their shoulders and point their fingers. The very idea of accountability is anachronistic. Now that dark clouds are gathering, in the IMF's words , the finger… read more...

Global Growth Plateaus As Economic Risks Materialize

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-10 04:27:30:000

By Maurice Obstfeld, the Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at the International Monetary Fund The latest World Economic Outlook report projects that global growth will remain steady over 2018-19 at last year's rate of 3.7 percent. This growth exceeds that achieved in any of … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-09 03:33:19:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, October 8, 2018. The top performer this year is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.89%. In second is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a gain of 4.48%. In third is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 1…. read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

International Gains Ground As Trade Tensions Ease - Q3 '18 Commentary

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-05 06:45:54:000

Data Source: Bloomberg International Gains Ground as Trade Tensions Ease Source: istockphoto As we write this, it was announced over the last weekend in September that the U.S. and Canada have reached a last-minute accord to revise the North American Free Trade Agreement ((NA… read more...

Lasting Effects: The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After The Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-05 02:40:41:000

By Wenjie Chen, economist in the IMFs African Department; Mico Mrkaic, senior economist in the IMFs Research Department; Malhar Nabar, Deputy Division Chief of the World Economic Studies Division in the IMF's Research Department In the year following the 2008 financial cris… read more...

Central Bank Credibility Pays Off In Times Of Stress

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-04 07:18:44:000

By Rudolfs Bems , Senior Economist at the Research Department of the IMF, Francesca Caselli , Economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the IMF Research Department, Francesco Grigoli , Economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the IMFs Research Department,… read more...

World Exports Fall For First Time In Over 2 Years

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-01 23:48:47:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the first fall in global export orders for over two years in September, according to the latest PMI surveys. The slowdown in trade acted as a further drag on factory output, order book growth and hiring. Price pressures, purchasing activity growth and supply co… read more...

World Exports Fall For First Time In Over 2 Years

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-01 23:48:47:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the first fall in global export orders for over two years in September, according to the latest PMI surveys. The slowdown in trade acted as a further drag on factory output, order book growth and hiring. Price pressures, purchasing activity growth and supply co… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

Trade war dimming prospects for large scale M&A, J.P. Morgan banker says

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-24 02:35:22:000

Rising geopolitical tensions and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China will deter companies from carrying out big deals , says Hernan Cristerna, JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM ) global co-head of M&A. More news on: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares… read more...

Trade war dimming prospects for large scale M&A, J.P. Morgan banker says

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-24 02:35:22:000

Rising geopolitical tensions and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China will deter companies from carrying out big deals , says Hernan Cristerna, JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM ) global co-head of M&A. More news on: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares… read more...

Trade war dimming prospects for large scale M&A, J.P. Morgan banker says

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-24 02:35:22:000

Rising geopolitical tensions and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China will deter companies from carrying out big deals , says Hernan Cristerna, JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM ) global co-head of M&A. More news on: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Markets Diverge From The U.S.

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-20 02:12:54:000

Clarity Financial Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts examines the divergence of world markets to the U.S. and discusses the message they may be sending to Read more … read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Global Economic Perspective: September

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-16 08:26:07:000

By Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; John Beck, Director of Fixed Income, London, Senior Vi… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Commentary: Jittery Investors Feel Butterflies As Divergence Replaces Central Bank Put

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-11 02:50:19:000

By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Ash Alankar discusses in Pensions & Investments how as central banks begin to step back, other forces are stepping up, making markets more multidimensional. Investors are getting increasingly jittery as a new reality sets in. Since the global financial cr… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-11 00:45:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, September 10, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 12.15%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.61%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a loss of 0…. read more...

Mind The (U.S.-Germany Yield) Gap

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-10 10:12:20:000

Key Points We see the yield spread between U.S. and German bonds modestly widening on U.S. economic outperformance and policy divergence. Technology stocks led global equities down. The Indonesian rupiah and South African rand joined the emerging market ((EM)) currency rout. This week'… read more...

2018's 'Dogs Of The World' (Stock Market Wrap)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-10 03:10:23:000

During 2018, up until May, the world's major stock markets had similar performance. Since then, the US has pushed higher, whereas most other markets have sunk lower. That performance gap widened considerably during August and early September. Today, I give a snapshot of what's happened and why… read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

International Equities At (Or Near) An Inflection Point

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 07:55:48:000

I continue to believe that threats of potentially prolonged trade wars have served as an emergency brake to a stock market that has been pressing on the gas pedal to try and move forward with a growing global economy serving as a tailwind. As progress is reported with respect to trade negoti… read more...

More Dominos

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 07:17:38:000

You get the impression often that these guys have no idea what drives the dollar. They cling to all sorts of theories, of course, from interest rate differentials to perceptions of economic strength. That seemed to be the case in 2017 and its "weak dollar" environment. Globally synchronized gr… read more...

10 Years After Lehman - Lessons Learned And Challenges Ahead

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 06:20:24:000

By Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of IMF A trader on the New York Stock Exchange the day US investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy: the global crisis that followed is a defining moment of our time (Photo: Nancy-Kaszerman/ZUMA Press/Newscom) The global financial cri… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-05 07:58:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 27, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 12.85%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 8.34%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 0.5… read more...

The Global Financial System Is Unraveling, And No, The U.S. Is Not Immune

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-05 07:18:35:000

Currencies don't melt down randomly. This is only the first stage of a complete re-ordering of the global financial system. Take a look at the Shanghai Stock Market (China) and tell me what you see: A complete meltdown, right? More specifically, a four-month battle to cling to the key … read more...

Threat Of 'Currency Bullying'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-04 01:21:22:000

On 24 July, the International Monetary Fund released its 2018 External Sector Report, its latest assessment of the current account balances of the worlds 30 largest economies. There was no major change relative to previous years, and the configuration of global surpluses and deficits… read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

U.S. As % Of World Stock Market Cap Tops 40% Again

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-29 06:44:56:000

Below is a look at each country's percentage of total world stock market capitalization based on Bloomberg indices. (We only include the 35 largest countries by market cap in the table.) For each country, we show its current percentage of world market cap, where it stood on Election Day 2016… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-28 06:26:53:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 27, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 14.44%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 8.35%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a … read more...

Global Economy On Precipice Of Secular Decline: Detailed Via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, And Consumption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 08:13:07:000

Many look at global population growth as a given to greater consumption… and looking at the chart below of total global population set to hit 7.8 billion by 2020, one might be forgiven for this viewpoint. However, the reality, when one looks into the numbers, is that growth in global consump... read more...

Global Economy On Precipice Of Secular Decline: Detailed Via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, And Consumption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 08:13:07:000

Many look at global population growth as a given to greater consumption… and looking at the chart below of total global population set to hit 7.8 billion by 2020, one might be forgiven for this viewpoint. However, the reality, when one looks into the numbers, is that growth in global consump... read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - In Sovereign Debt Investing, U.S. Dollar Direction Is Critical

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 05:27:42:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the last of a four-part series on investing in global sovereign debt markets, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg discusses opportunities to find value. Key Takeaways Slowing growth means bond yields may trend lower in Canada and Australia, while the accelerating U.S… read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - In Sovereign Debt Investing, U.S. Dollar Direction Is Critical

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 05:27:42:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the last of a four-part series on investing in global sovereign debt markets, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg discusses opportunities to find value. Key Takeaways Slowing growth means bond yields may trend lower in Canada and Australia, while the accelerating U.S… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For August 20-24

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-25 02:17:45:000

In Canada, retail sales were down .2% , which followed a strong gain of 2.2% in the preceding month. Sales were down at auto dealerships, while activity increased at grocery stores and restaurants. On an inflation-adjusted basis, sales have been mostly flat for the last few years: Rem… read more...

Global PMIs Hang In There And That's The Bad News

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-24 07:30:50:000

At this particular juncture eight months into 2018, the only thing that will help is abrupt and serious acceleration. On this side of May 29 , it is way past time for it to get real. The global economy either synchronizes in a major, unambiguous breakout or markets retrench even more. Tha… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-22 02:01:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 20, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 13.21%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.86%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-22 02:01:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 20, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 13.21%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.86%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

'This Time Is Different' - But Is It Really?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 09:23:38:000

Efforts to justify the lofty levels of today's markets and especially the FANG stocks are sometimes difficult to comprehend. The general consensus prior to the election of Donald Trump as President was that his election would spell certain doom for both the economy and markets in general. Prio… read more...

The Best Thing You'll Read On Turkey

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 06:20:39:000

I 've been thinking about whether or not to write something about the crisis unfolding in Turkey, but there are much smarter people out there doing the legwork for me. Chief amongst them is Brad Setser at CFR. This post of his is tremendously good. It might get a little confusing for some, s… read more...

Richard Duncan: Full-Blown Trade War Would Crash The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 05:46:49:000

By FS Staff Richard Duncan, writer and publisher at Macro Watch , warned on FS Insider that a full-blown trade war between the U.S. and China would lead to a spike in inflation, interest rates, and, if pushed too far, a cratering of the global economy into another Great Depression. Sound … read more...

Hopefully, Turkey Isn't The Trigger To A Global Economic Calamity

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 05:22:21:000

Over the past few days, there has been an almost 20 percent rebound in the Turkish lira from the all-time lows that it plumbed earlier in the week. It would be a mistake to think that this signals the end of the Turkish currency crisis. More important yet, it would be a mistake for U.S. poli… read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - U.S. Dollar Rally Drives Global Risk, Puts Pressure On Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 05:36:21:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the third of a four-part series, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg looks at the impact that a fluctuating U.S. dollar has on emerging market debt. Despite stronger sensitivity to movement in the U.S. dollar and other challenges within emerging markets, we still think … read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - U.S. Dollar Rally Drives Global Risk, Puts Pressure On Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 05:36:21:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the third of a four-part series, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg looks at the impact that a fluctuating U.S. dollar has on emerging market debt. Despite stronger sensitivity to movement in the U.S. dollar and other challenges within emerging markets, we still think … read more...

Market Update: August Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 01:13:17:000

By OpenMarkets Although historically a quiet month, August has been anything but. Jack Bouroudjian tells us to pay attention to the rising dollar, rotation out of tech stocks and the global news headlines that have been driving the markets for the rest of the Read more … read more...

Market Update: August Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 01:13:17:000

By OpenMarkets Although historically a quiet month, August has been anything but. Jack Bouroudjian tells us to pay attention to the rising dollar, rotation out of tech stocks and the global news headlines that have been driving the markets for the rest of the Read more … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 09:02:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 13, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 11.33%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 5.55%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 09:02:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 13, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 11.33%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 5.55%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 09:02:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 13, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 11.33%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 5.55%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

Monetary Policy May Have Been Overly Aggressive

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 03:24:03:000

Martin Sandbu's characterization of world central bank policy since 2008 as timid sits most uncomfortably with the facts ("The devastating cost of central bank inaction," August 8). Never before have the world's major central banks kept interest rates so low for so long as they have done ove… read more...

Monetary Policy May Have Been Overly Aggressive

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 03:24:03:000

Martin Sandbu's characterization of world central bank policy since 2008 as timid sits most uncomfortably with the facts ("The devastating cost of central bank inaction," August 8). Never before have the world's major central banks kept interest rates so low for so long as they have done ove… read more...

Monetary Policy May Have Been Overly Aggressive

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 03:24:03:000

Martin Sandbu's characterization of world central bank policy since 2008 as timid sits most uncomfortably with the facts ("The devastating cost of central bank inaction," August 8). Never before have the world's major central banks kept interest rates so low for so long as they have done ove… read more...

Global Growth Cools At Start Of Q3 Amid Survey Record Price Rise

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-13 04:10:00:000

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Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Country Risk: A Midyear Update For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-07 07:40:29:000

While political and trade wars are brewing around the world, centered on globalization, the enduring truth is that the globalization genie is out of the bottle, and no political force can put it back. Encouraged to spread their bets around the world, investors have shed some of the home bias i… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-07 05:47:15:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Friday, August 6, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 11.47%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.61%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 3.10… read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

'Growth' Still Has Gas Left In The Tank - July 2018 Market Commentary

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-03 10:27:31:000

Data Source: Bloomberg Growth Still Has Some Gas Left in the Tank Source: istockphoto As we write this July 2018 Market Commentary, the U.S. technology and communication sector, which had sharply reversed following poor 2Q earnings releases from FAANG bellwether… read more...

Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - August 2, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-03 02:29:03:000

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) edged higher in July, inching up to an annualized 4.9% - slightly above the previous month's estimate . The projected return over the "risk-free" rate is a long-run estimate for GMI, an unmanaged market value-weighted portfolio that … read more...

Investing For The 'Long Run'? You May Want To Consider This

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-01 09:55:57:000

While this blog's day is done…thought I'd offer a simple fact sheet to reference when discussing where and among whom the global population is growing, stalling, and/or shrinking. This article breaks down the world into four groups of nations based on the World Bank's gross national income (... read more...

Investing For The 'Long Run'? You May Want To Consider This

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-01 09:55:57:000

While this blog's day is done…thought I'd offer a simple fact sheet to reference when discussing where and among whom the global population is growing, stalling, and/or shrinking. This article breaks down the world into four groups of nations based on the World Bank's gross national income (... read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-31 04:38:03:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Friday, July 30, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 10.89%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.82%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 3.44%…. read more...

Crash Test Dummies

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-30 10:24:21:000

By Brad Tank, Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income Dropping the threat of higher auto tariffs was an important step back from a global trade war. Some people like things shiny and new. Others prefer the proven and time-worn. As far as automobiles go, I'm deeply rooted in cars from the… read more...

The Next 18 Months

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-30 02:21:36:000

No one doubts that Trump's economic agenda, especially the tax cuts, will be a shot of adrenalin for our economy near term. However most of the pundits/skeptics feel that the afterglow will dissipate rapidly as we move into 2019 and beyond. We disagree! The pundits/skeptics look at each piece … read more...

Investing Newsletter - July 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-29 10:22:09:000

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Quarterly Market Review Q2 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-29 10:06:03:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

Global Economic Perspective: July

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-24 06:14:56:000

By Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; David Zahn, CFA, FRM Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; John Beck Director of Fixed Income, London Senior Vice P… read more...

Decoupling Reborn

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-20 03:44:30:000

The term "decoupling" was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that year (because of nothing other than subprime mortgages, naturally) the rest of the world would be insulated from any fallout. EM economies like Ch… read more...

Decoupling Reborn

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-20 03:44:30:000

The term "decoupling" was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that year (because of nothing other than subprime mortgages, naturally) the rest of the world would be insulated from any fallout. EM economies like Ch… read more...

Decoupling Reborn

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-20 03:44:30:000

The term "decoupling" was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that year (because of nothing other than subprime mortgages, naturally) the rest of the world would be insulated from any fallout. EM economies like Ch… read more...

Decoupling Reborn

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-20 03:44:30:000

The term "decoupling" was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that year (because of nothing other than subprime mortgages, naturally) the rest of the world would be insulated from any fallout. EM economies like Ch… read more...

Shifting Tides: Policy Challenges And Opportunities For The G-20

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-19 02:46:19:000

By Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund The artist Claude Monet once said, "I worked without stopping, for the tide at this moment is just as I need it." As the Group of Twenty finance ministers gather this week at the banks of the Rio de la Plata in Bu… read more...

Perspectives On Disruption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-18 07:56:11:000

By Stephen H. Dover, CFA Executive Vice President, Head of Equities As our analysts and researchers travel the world surveying businesses, they hear a lot about disruption - the ability of new, often technology-backed companies to disrupt the status quo. Yet, our experience and insight te… read more...

World Debt Explodes: $30 Trillion In 5 Quarters

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-18 03:49:29:000

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Gauging The Market Impact Of Global Trade Tensions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 15:37:55:000

Global trade tensions are earning investor attention, but how might they affect markets and portfolios? Isabelle looks to some new BlackRock analysis for answers. Global trade disputes are the subject of nearly daily headlines. Tit-for-tat tariffs between the U.S. and China risk breaking… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 06:11:39:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, July 16, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 7.43%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.67%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 1.82%…. read more...

Russell Napier Warns Of Global Monetary Breakdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 05:59:10:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe for a free trial by clicking here . FS Insider recently interviewed Russell Napier, well-known financial historian and co-founder of the Electronic Research Interchange ((ERIC)), to discuss a breakdow… read more...

The Global Expansion: Still Strong But Less Even, More Fragile, Under Threat

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 03:26:17:000

By Maurice Obstfeld, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at IMF Amid rising tensions over international trade, the broad global expansion that began roughly two years ago has plateaued and become less balanced. In our latest World Economic Outlook Update , we continue to proj… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

ETF Deathwatch For June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-13 05:38:35:000

By Jason Teed From the beginning of June to July 1, 2018, the ETF Deathwatch had 26 additions, 10 closures, and 6 exits. The funds that left the list exited due to improved health, mainly from an increase in assets under management ((AUM)). Ten funds were closed by their parent companies. … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

Near-Stagnant Exports Push Global Manufacturing PMI To 11-Month Low

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-05 05:08:56:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the weakest rise in export orders for two years in June, contributing to the slowest improvement in business conditions for almost a year. Concerns about escalating trade wars also pushed business confidence down to a 19-month low. Prices meanwhile rose at the … read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Crescat Capital End Of June 2018 Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-27 05:48:52:000

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Global Debt Binge Setting Us Up For A Pounding Economic Headache

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-27 04:14:23:000

Anyone doubting that there is a material risk that that the next global economic recession will be of the more severe than normal variety has not been paying attention to the massive build-up in global debt levels over the past decade. Nor have they been paying attention to the unusually low i… read more...

Watching And Waiting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-25 00:11:05:000

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Watching And Waiting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-25 00:11:05:000

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World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 03:03:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 18, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.13%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.75%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gai… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 03:03:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 18, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.13%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.75%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gai… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 03:03:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 18, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.13%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.75%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gai… read more...

Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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