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ACWF

iShares Edge MSCI Multifactor Global ETF

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Summary

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI ACWI Diversified Multiple-Factor Index. The fund generally will invest at least 90% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to contain equity securities from the MSCI ACWI Index (the "parent index") that have high exposure to four investment style factors: value, quality, momentum and low size, while maintaining a level of risk similar to that of the parent index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap: 37.7 Million

Primary Exchange: NYSE Arca

Website: http://www.ishares.com

Shares Outstanding: 1.15 Million

Float: 1.15 Million

Dividend: 0.5961 (1.82%)

Beta: 0.0

Sector:

Industry:

Short Interest (): 0

Ethical Flags

Longest drawdown: 412 trading days

From: 2018-01-26 To: 2019-04-18

Lowest Point:

10 Investor Takeaways From The 2019 Spring IMFWorld Bank Meetings

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-19 00:14:27:000

Set against a constructive global backdrop, the overall tone at the mid-April meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group in Washington, DC, was optimistic, albeit mindful of the differentiated political and idiosyncratic risks across emerging markets ((EM)). PIMCO als… read more...

The Late, Late Cycle: Preparing For A World Of Lower Returns

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-18 03:16:41:000

By Richard Brink and Walt Czaicki These are tricky days for the global economy. As growth downshifts and corporate earnings weaken, some investors are dusting off playbooks for late-cycle investing. That makes sense, but there are a few twists to today's market conditions that may require… read more...

Global Markets And A New Way Of Financial Planning

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-16 04:13:28:000

By Jeremy Schwartz, CFA On last week's episode of the "Behind the Markets" podcast, Liqian Ren and I were joined by Steve Cordasco, CEO of Cordasco Financial Network, and Srinivas Thiruvadanthai, director of research for the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center. We engaged in a wide-ranging disc… read more...

Global Markets And A New Way Of Financial Planning

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-16 04:13:28:000

By Jeremy Schwartz, CFA On last week's episode of the "Behind the Markets" podcast, Liqian Ren and I were joined by Steve Cordasco, CEO of Cordasco Financial Network, and Srinivas Thiruvadanthai, director of research for the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center. We engaged in a wide-ranging disc… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 23:58:25:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through April 15, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 28.9% gain, and in second place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 18.62%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 17.47%. Coming in l… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 23:58:25:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through April 15, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 28.9% gain, and in second place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 18.62%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 17.47%. Coming in l… read more...

Market Turbulence And Policy Reversal Shouldn't Cow Investors

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 23:39:53:000

Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that despite the market turbulence witnessed in the past several months, as well as a dramatic policy reversal, we find ourselves at a moment of remarkable economic stability. That fact, along with greater policy accommodation and capacity, argues for heal… read more...

Market Turbulence And Policy Reversal Shouldn't Cow Investors

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 23:39:53:000

Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that despite the market turbulence witnessed in the past several months, as well as a dramatic policy reversal, we find ourselves at a moment of remarkable economic stability. That fact, along with greater policy accommodation and capacity, argues for heal… read more...

Mapping Climate-Related Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 22:41:54:000

A spate of recent extreme weather events - from hurricanes and wildfires in the U.S. to heat waves in Europe - has put a spotlight on climate-related risks. Yet, climate-related portfolio risks have been hard to pinpoint - until recently. Advances in climate and data science now allow us to as… read more...

Mapping Climate-Related Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 22:41:54:000

A spate of recent extreme weather events - from hurricanes and wildfires in the U.S. to heat waves in Europe - has put a spotlight on climate-related risks. Yet, climate-related portfolio risks have been hard to pinpoint - until recently. Advances in climate and data science now allow us to as… read more...

From U.S.-Sino Talks To New Trade Wars, Weakening Global Prospects

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-15 00:04:18:000

Recently, IMF cut global growth forecasts. As US-Sino trade talks will give way to next trade wars, new tariff wars will not resolve US deficits but will further impair global economic prospects. Ever since the US-Sino trade talks began almost four months ago, the United States has pushed … read more...

Part 2: Our Evaluation Of The Global Economic Cycle

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-14 08:55:47:000

By Anujeet Sareen, CFA The Bearish View of the Global Economic Cycle Federal Reserve Policy A good place to start evaluating the bearish case for global growth is to consider policy changes at the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). As we know, the Fed raised interest rates by over 200 basis… read more...

Watch Out For Volatility, Even In Rising Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-14 06:52:46:000

By Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki and Chris Marx Global stocks rebounded in the first quarter, but the ride was rocky. Even in a rising market, volatility is a clear and present danger. With so many risks clouding the outlook, we believe that investors should focus on generating a smoother … read more...

High Debt Hampers Countries' Response To A Fast-Changing Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-11 22:14:17:000

By Vitor Gaspar, Director of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, John Ralyea, Senior Economist in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department, and Elif Ture, Economist in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department Economic growth is slowing, and public debt remains high across th… read more...

High Debt Hampers Countries' Response To A Fast-Changing Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-11 22:14:17:000

By Vitor Gaspar, Director of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, John Ralyea, Senior Economist in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department, and Elif Ture, Economist in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department Economic growth is slowing, and public debt remains high across th… read more...

What Constitutes Value?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-11 10:41:09:000

We are going to begin this week with our annual value lesson. For those of our readers that have not read this before, we hope you enjoy this lesson and we hope that you gain some very keen insight as to what constitutes value and what constitutes individualistic, "because I can" mentality. Fi… read more...

IMF Cancels Globally Synchronized Growth, Confirms The Worst Case

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-10 23:52:05:000

The IMF becomes the latest mainstream organization to abandon the recovery. It wasn't really much of one to begin with, mostly just the hope that an uptick in growth would lead to the long sought, and necessary, completion. Globally synchronized growth in 2017 was supposed to mean a plausible … read more...

Weak Spots In Global Financial System Could Amplify Shocks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-10 17:09:05:000

By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department, and Fabio Natalucci, Deputy Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department In the United States, the ratio of corporate debt to GDP is at record-high levels. In several Europe… read more...

Central Banks Are Heading Toward A Stagnant Global Zombie Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-10 03:02:36:000

By Daniel Lacalle Liquidity injections and zero interest rate policies disguise risk and may give a false sense of security. This risk could not be more evident today. Not only have we seen large downgrades to consensus growth estimates and central banks' expectations of GDP and inflation,… read more...

The Global Macro Picture Is Ready To Explode With Alex Barrow

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-10 00:36:23:000

This episode I talk with Alex Barrow, Co-Founder and Chief Macro Strategist of Macro Ops. We discuss the major moves that are shaping up in the global macro space. In this episode we touch on the dollar, bonds, metals, inflation, inverted yield curve, China, $YTRA and equity indexes. … read more...

Fed nears vote on reworked rules for foreign banks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-08 06:47:45:000

The Federal Reserve is poised to revamp rules overseeing foreign banks that are expected to require some of them to boost reserves of easy-to-sell assets to act as a buffer during downturns, Bloomberg reports. More news on: The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank… read more...

Fed nears vote on reworked rules for foreign banks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-08 06:47:45:000

The Federal Reserve is poised to revamp rules overseeing foreign banks that are expected to require some of them to boost reserves of easy-to-sell assets to act as a buffer during downturns, Bloomberg reports. More news on: The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank… read more...

Global Economy At A Delicate Moment, Says The IMF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 03:09:11:000

Next week, the 2019 Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund ((IMF)) and the World Bank will take place in Washington, in this 75th year since the birth of the two institutions. Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, speaking on Tuesday at the US Chamber of Commerce , offe… read more...

Global Economy At A Delicate Moment, Says The IMF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 03:09:11:000

Next week, the 2019 Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund ((IMF)) and the World Bank will take place in Washington, in this 75th year since the birth of the two institutions. Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, speaking on Tuesday at the US Chamber of Commerce , offe… read more...

Global Economy At A Delicate Moment, Says The IMF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 03:09:11:000

Next week, the 2019 Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund ((IMF)) and the World Bank will take place in Washington, in this 75th year since the birth of the two institutions. Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, speaking on Tuesday at the US Chamber of Commerce , offe… read more...

What's Next For Global Equities?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 02:01:53:000

By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Transcript Ashwin Alankar: What has transpired, really, through the course of 2019 year to date is all the forces that we were afraid that may push economies into recession have disappeared. China-U.S. trade negotiations are going better than expected. Earnings… read more...

What's Next For Global Equities?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 02:01:53:000

By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Transcript Ashwin Alankar: What has transpired, really, through the course of 2019 year to date is all the forces that we were afraid that may push economies into recession have disappeared. China-U.S. trade negotiations are going better than expected. Earnings… read more...

What's Next For Global Equities?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 02:01:53:000

By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Transcript Ashwin Alankar: What has transpired, really, through the course of 2019 year to date is all the forces that we were afraid that may push economies into recession have disappeared. China-U.S. trade negotiations are going better than expected. Earnings… read more...

External Demand, Global Means Global

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 00:12:49:000

The Reserve Bank of India ((RBI)) cut its benchmark money rate for the second straight meeting. Reducing its repo rate by 25 bps, down to 6%, the central bank once gripped by political turmoil has certainly shifted gears. Former Governor Urjit Patel was essentially removed (he resigned) in Dec… read more...

External Demand, Global Means Global

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 00:12:49:000

The Reserve Bank of India ((RBI)) cut its benchmark money rate for the second straight meeting. Reducing its repo rate by 25 bps, down to 6%, the central bank once gripped by political turmoil has certainly shifted gears. Former Governor Urjit Patel was essentially removed (he resigned) in Dec… read more...

External Demand, Global Means Global

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-05 00:12:49:000

The Reserve Bank of India ((RBI)) cut its benchmark money rate for the second straight meeting. Reducing its repo rate by 25 bps, down to 6%, the central bank once gripped by political turmoil has certainly shifted gears. Former Governor Urjit Patel was essentially removed (he resigned) in Dec… read more...

Global Trade May Be Slowing, But Costs Continue To Rise

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-04 19:38:18:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns Sea freight has to be one of the most cost-effective means of transporting goods over long distances ever invented. Even with increasing ocean freight rates, it is often the case it costs as much to ship from Calcutta to London as it does to then clear a… read more...

Global Trade May Be Slowing, But Costs Continue To Rise

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-04 19:38:18:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns Sea freight has to be one of the most cost-effective means of transporting goods over long distances ever invented. Even with increasing ocean freight rates, it is often the case it costs as much to ship from Calcutta to London as it does to then clear a… read more...

Global Trade May Be Slowing, But Costs Continue To Rise

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-04 19:38:18:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns Sea freight has to be one of the most cost-effective means of transporting goods over long distances ever invented. Even with increasing ocean freight rates, it is often the case it costs as much to ship from Calcutta to London as it does to then clear a… read more...

In Other News: 'Synchronized Global Growth Has Collapsed'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-04 06:29:28:000

This morning we learned that US private payrolls posted another disappointing month in March as the job market continued to slow, and Deutsche Bank analysts warn that order backlog growth at Caterpillar (CAT) - maker of earth movers and construction equipment and global-growth bellwether - a… read more...

Part 1: Our Evaluation Of The Global Economic Cycle

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-04 00:04:09:000

By Anujeet Sareen, CFA This June, the current economic expansion will end up being the longest in post-war history. Therefore, it's natural to ask, "Are we headed into a recession later this year or in 2020?" It's a tall ask to evaluate whether a global recession is coming, and a logical p… read more...

The Reality Of Globalization

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-01 17:34:47:000

Rana Foroohar provides the following data in her recent opinion piece in the Financial Times : Despite small decreases in overseas revenues for the past couple of years, nearly half the sales of the S&P 500 come from abroad. This information struck me because I believe that … read more...

The Reality Of Globalization

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-04-01 17:34:47:000

Rana Foroohar provides the following data in her recent opinion piece in the Financial Times : Despite small decreases in overseas revenues for the past couple of years, nearly half the sales of the S&P 500 come from abroad. This information struck me because I believe that … read more...

Is This Year's Rebound In Global Markets Overbought?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-30 03:43:04:000

How do you define irrational exuberance? There's no single answer, much less one that offers flawless signals for timing rallies and corrections in financial markets. But the latest trend data for all the major asset classes (based on proxies via a set of exchange-traded funds) suggests that t… read more...

Is This Year's Rebound In Global Markets Overbought?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-30 03:43:04:000

How do you define irrational exuberance? There's no single answer, much less one that offers flawless signals for timing rallies and corrections in financial markets. But the latest trend data for all the major asset classes (based on proxies via a set of exchange-traded funds) suggests that t… read more...

Is This Year's Rebound In Global Markets Overbought?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-30 03:43:04:000

How do you define irrational exuberance? There's no single answer, much less one that offers flawless signals for timing rallies and corrections in financial markets. But the latest trend data for all the major asset classes (based on proxies via a set of exchange-traded funds) suggests that t… read more...

Inflation Is Always And Everywhere A Political Phenomenon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-28 22:15:26:000

We don't understand inflation. Those who lived through the high inflation of the 1970s are convinced that inflation is always and everywhere caused by wage price spirals. Germans, economic Austrians and Bitcoiners are convinced that inflation is always and everywhere caused by central bank mon… read more...

Capital Flows In A World Of Low Interest Rates

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-28 21:58:39:000

By Joseph Joyce Interest rates in advanced economies continue to persist at historically low levels. This trend is due not only to the response of central banks to slow growth, but also due to fundamental factors. If these interest rates continue close to their current levels, what are the… read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook - Q2 Update: The Pause That Refreshes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-28 01:21:23:000

Global central banks have turned dovish, China stimulus is stronger than expected and trade-war tensions are easing. The cycle is becoming slightly more supportive for equities, but we believe it's late in the game and upside potential is limited. Key market themes Markets are caugh… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-27 06:13:12:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 25, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 21.57% gain and in second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 13.67%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 13.12%. Coming in last is India… read more...

Q1 2019 Review: International Equity ETF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-21 02:31:41:000

By Bill Witherell, Ph.D. International equity markets recovered strongly in the first two and a half months of 2019. This followed last year's sharp drop in global markets, particularly in December. The revival in investment sentiment has occurred despite a moderation in global economic gr… read more...

Q1 2019 Review: International Equity ETF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-21 02:31:41:000

By Bill Witherell, Ph.D. International equity markets recovered strongly in the first two and a half months of 2019. This followed last year's sharp drop in global markets, particularly in December. The revival in investment sentiment has occurred despite a moderation in global economic gr… read more...

Q1 2019 Review: International Equity ETF

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-21 02:31:41:000

By Bill Witherell, Ph.D. International equity markets recovered strongly in the first two and a half months of 2019. This followed last year's sharp drop in global markets, particularly in December. The revival in investment sentiment has occurred despite a moderation in global economic gr… read more...

How Do You Know When Stocks Are 'Cheap'?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-20 07:59:50:000

Stocks have had a very strong start to 2019, across most of the world. The MSCI All-Countries World Index (ACWI), of both developed and emerging market stocks, is up 12.8% since the start of the year. This is the bounce after late 2018's sharp falls. But why do disparate stock markets so often… read more...

Slump, Downturn, Recession; All Add Up To Sideways

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-20 03:04:19:000

According to Germany's Zentrum fr Europische Wirtschaftsforschung, or ZEW, the slump in the country's economy has now reached its fourteenth month. The institute's sentiment index has improved in the last two, but only slightly. As of the latest calculation released today, it stand… read more...

Goldilocks Walks A Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-19 04:08:55:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, head of global markets research The "just right" Goldilocks economic backdrop has been a major driver of global equity markets for the past several years. The recent dovish central-bank U-turn and easing trade tensions have fostered hopes that this bene… read more...

Looking Forward, Looking Back: 10 Charts After 10 Years

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-19 03:58:07:000

Just over a decade ago, global markets began to recover from the biggest shock in post-war history. In these 10 charts, we aim to show how much has changed since then and how market conditions over the past decade may influence big changes that are beginning to unfold today. Even as financia… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-19 03:41:29:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 18, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 25.60% gain and in second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 17.03%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 15.43%. Coming in last is India… read more...

Continued Central Bank Support, Optimism For A Trade Deal, And A Potential Rebound In Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-18 23:37:42:000

Q&A With Ken Leech, Chief Investment Officer, Western Asset What should we expect to see from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year? In the U.S., the window of opportunity to raise rates looked wide open in the middle two quarters of 2018, with the economy accelerating to over 3.5% g… read more...

Green Shoots In Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-18 14:30:02:000

One of my favorite analytical techniques for generating insights on global markets is studying market breadth , and those who know me know I like to take a bit of an alternative angle, and today's chart is no exception. What makes today's chart so interesting is that (in contrast to most of… read more...

The World Economy's Industrial Downswing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-17 04:52:43:000

As economic data for 2019 comes in, the numbers continue to suggest more slowing, especially in the goods economy. Perhaps what happened during that October-December window was a soft patch. Even if that was the case, we should still expect second and third order effects to follow along from i… read more...

The World Economy's Industrial Downswing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-17 04:52:43:000

As economic data for 2019 comes in, the numbers continue to suggest more slowing, especially in the goods economy. Perhaps what happened during that October-December window was a soft patch. Even if that was the case, we should still expect second and third order effects to follow along from i… read more...

Manufacturing And Trade Act As Drags On Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 03:45:00:000

The following is an extract from IHS Markit's monthly PMI overview presentation. Global PMI lifts higher on back of stronger service sector expansion The pace of global economic growth picked up in February from a near two-and-a-half year low at the start of the year, but remained among … read more...

Manufacturing And Trade Act As Drags On Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 03:45:00:000

The following is an extract from IHS Markit's monthly PMI overview presentation. Global PMI lifts higher on back of stronger service sector expansion The pace of global economic growth picked up in February from a near two-and-a-half year low at the start of the year, but remained among … read more...

Manufacturing And Trade Act As Drags On Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 03:45:00:000

The following is an extract from IHS Markit's monthly PMI overview presentation. Global PMI lifts higher on back of stronger service sector expansion The pace of global economic growth picked up in February from a near two-and-a-half year low at the start of the year, but remained among … read more...

The Trade Numerologist: After Strong 2018, German Exports Threatened By Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 02:54:00:000

Perhaps no country risks losing more from the winds of protectionism and tariffs sweeping the world than Germany. The world's fourth-largest economy and the richest in the European Union is heavily dependent on exports, especially of industrial goods that are sensitive to swings in the economi… read more...

The Trade Numerologist: After Strong 2018, German Exports Threatened By Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 02:54:00:000

Perhaps no country risks losing more from the winds of protectionism and tariffs sweeping the world than Germany. The world's fourth-largest economy and the richest in the European Union is heavily dependent on exports, especially of industrial goods that are sensitive to swings in the economi… read more...

The Trade Numerologist: After Strong 2018, German Exports Threatened By Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 02:54:00:000

Perhaps no country risks losing more from the winds of protectionism and tariffs sweeping the world than Germany. The world's fourth-largest economy and the richest in the European Union is heavily dependent on exports, especially of industrial goods that are sensitive to swings in the economi… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 01:35:11:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 11, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 22.78% gain, and in second place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 13.42%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 12.730%. Coming in… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 01:35:11:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 11, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 22.78% gain, and in second place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 13.42%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 12.730%. Coming in… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-12 01:35:11:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 11, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 22.78% gain, and in second place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 13.42%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 12.730%. Coming in… read more...

China's Slowdown Is Exposing The Cracks In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-07 20:51:59:000

By Claudio Grass The latest numbers released by China's statistics bureau fueled widespread concerns about the outlook of the global economy, as the Asian superpower reported its slowest growth rate since 1990. The figures showed a 6.6% growth for 2018, confirming the view that the growth … read more...

China's Slowdown Is Exposing The Cracks In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-07 20:51:59:000

By Claudio Grass The latest numbers released by China's statistics bureau fueled widespread concerns about the outlook of the global economy, as the Asian superpower reported its slowest growth rate since 1990. The figures showed a 6.6% growth for 2018, confirming the view that the growth … read more...

China's Slowdown Is Exposing The Cracks In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-07 20:51:59:000

By Claudio Grass The latest numbers released by China's statistics bureau fueled widespread concerns about the outlook of the global economy, as the Asian superpower reported its slowest growth rate since 1990. The figures showed a 6.6% growth for 2018, confirming the view that the growth … read more...

China's Slowdown Is Exposing The Cracks In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-07 20:51:59:000

By Claudio Grass The latest numbers released by China's statistics bureau fueled widespread concerns about the outlook of the global economy, as the Asian superpower reported its slowest growth rate since 1990. The figures showed a 6.6% growth for 2018, confirming the view that the growth … read more...

5 Things We Think Could Go Right For Global Markets In 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-07 06:20:00:000

By Rob Waldner, Chief Strategist and Head of Multi-Sector on March 5, 2019, in Fixed Income From the Fed, to Brexit, to China, we see positive signs that could support risk assets At Invesco Fixed Income, we often talk about the risks that are likely to upset global markets… read more...

Broken Record

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-06 21:01:00:000

The OECD has become the latest mainstream economist outfit to relent on growth. Two years ago, they had grown cautiously optimistic as reflation appeared in the back half of 2016. By the middle of 2017, positively giddy barely able to contain their increasingly rabid exc… read more...

Trade Deals And Political Realities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-06 02:52:00:000

By Bluford Putnam Could the USMCA accord among the US, Canada and Mexico, and a potential US-China trade deal get approval from the Democrats-led House of Representatives? Editors Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more …. read more...

Why Ray Dalio Changed His Recession Prediction

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-06 00:30:21:000

In this video we go over a Ray Dalio's latest recession prediction and what it means for the stock market. You can read Ray's full article here . Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Read more … read more...

Why We're Less Worried About A Recession Now That Growth Is Plunging

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-05 21:12:26:000

Originally published February 28, 2019 Starting about 18 months ago I assessed the risk of a recession before the next presidential election to be over 50% because we at Bridgewater calculated that a) the growth spurt would be temporary and fade and b) the Fed's policies in response to the… read more...

To Gauge An Economy's Health, Watch The 'Financial Cycle'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-05 20:43:04:000

By Stefan Hofrichter, CFA, Global Economist at Allianz Global Investors Has the global economy once again become overloaded with debt? More than 10 years on from the financial crisis which was, at its core, a debt crisis there are signs that indebtedness is reaching worri… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-04 23:16:15:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through March 4, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 22.81% gain, and in second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 15.24%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 12.73%. Coming in last is India… read more...

The Wolf Street Report: March 3, 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-04 04:06:39:000

Another Global Financial Crisis, with China at the Epicenter? Anytime an economic slowdown and a housing downturn appear in the scenery, there are questions about the next global financial crisis. That's a bitter aftertaste from the last global financial crisis. But China is somewhat special… read more...

Political Theater

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-03-04 03:38:43:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities Political dramas are coming to a head, but we think this economic cycle still has an act or two to play out. On Wednesday of last week, the U.S. Congress heard Jerome Powell indicate that the Federal Reserve was read… read more...

Global Earnings: Pace Of Downgrades Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-28 04:20:10:000

Originally published Feb 22, 2019 In a welcome development for global equity investors, the pace of 2019 earnings downgrades has eased markedly during the first three weeks of February. Furthermore, while 2019 consensus corporate profits growth has fallen from initial expectations of aroun… read more...

Global Earnings: Pace Of Downgrades Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-27 23:20:10:000

Originally published Feb 22, 2019 In a welcome development for global equity investors, the pace of 2019 earnings downgrades has eased markedly during the first three weeks of February. Furthermore, while 2019 consensus corporate profits growth has fallen from initial expectations of aroun… read more...

Global Earnings: Pace Of Downgrades Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-27 23:20:10:000

Originally published Feb 22, 2019 In a welcome development for global equity investors, the pace of 2019 earnings downgrades has eased markedly during the first three weeks of February. Furthermore, while 2019 consensus corporate profits growth has fallen from initial expectations of aroun… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 09:32:06:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through February 25, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 20.12% gain and in second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 15.24%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 11.57%. Coming in last is In… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 09:32:06:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through February 25, 2019. The top performer is the Shanghai SSE with a 20.12% gain and in second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 15.24%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 11.57%. Coming in last is In… read more...

Economic Forecast: Asia Will Drive Global Economy In 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 05:49:20:000

Asia will drive the global economy in 2019, according to an analysis of 40 major economies based on inflation and GDP growth forecasts by GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company. The company's analysis categorizes each country by "Low", "Moderate" and "High" GDP growth rate together… read more...

Economic Forecast: Asia Will Drive Global Economy In 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 05:49:20:000

Asia will drive the global economy in 2019, according to an analysis of 40 major economies based on inflation and GDP growth forecasts by GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company. The company's analysis categorizes each country by "Low", "Moderate" and "High" GDP growth rate together… read more...

Not Surprisingly, It Wasn't Italy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 04:57:56:000

It's so obscure now, I actually had to go back and reread what was going on there at the time. On May 29, the mainstream consensus was how Italian populists were screwing up Europe. Global bond markets were supposed to be selling off, massacred as global recovery took hold. Instead, worldwide … read more...

Not Surprisingly, It Wasn't Italy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-26 04:57:56:000

It's so obscure now, I actually had to go back and reread what was going on there at the time. On May 29, the mainstream consensus was how Italian populists were screwing up Europe. Global bond markets were supposed to be selling off, massacred as global recovery took hold. Instead, worldwide … read more...

Good News, Bad News And Walls Of Worry

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-25 05:43:27:000

By Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class For investors, the mature part of this cycle may feel like the rest of the cycle writ large. The MSCI All Country World Index is up some 250% since the financial crisis. But was there ever a cycle in which investors were mor… read more...

Global Population Decline And Economic Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-24 09:27:00:000

Rising population was thought to be bad for our standard of living, with classic books such as Limits to Growth and Population Bomb projecting fewer resources per person and environmental collapse. A new book, Empty Planet , makes the forecast that world population will hit a peak and the… read more...

The Week Ahead

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-24 06:08:18:000

After a dismal end of 2018, investors are faring better through the first two-thirds of the Q1 '19. Equity markets have recouped a good part of the late-2018 decline. Bond yields, however, have not returned to where they previously were. The tightening of financial conditions, which was both c… read more...

This Week In Money - February 23, 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-24 02:34:36:000

Bob Hoye Gold, stock markets, commodities, credit markets Martin Armstrong World economic outlook, gold, real estate. Eric Hadik Market cycles and human behavior. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of American Manganese Inc. Produc… read more...

Global Copper Users Output Index Nears 10-Year Low, Prompting Growth Worries

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 06:03:42:000

Heavy users of copper saw a solid decline in output in January, boding ill for future demand for the metal in coming months. The Global Copper Users PMI Output Index hit a near ten-year low at the start of 2019, indicating a downturn of the scale not seen since the Financial Crisis. This giv… read more...

Global Copper Users Output Index Nears 10-Year Low, Prompting Growth Worries

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 06:03:42:000

Heavy users of copper saw a solid decline in output in January, boding ill for future demand for the metal in coming months. The Global Copper Users PMI Output Index hit a near ten-year low at the start of 2019, indicating a downturn of the scale not seen since the Financial Crisis. This giv… read more...

Global Copper Users Output Index Nears 10-Year Low, Prompting Growth Worries

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 06:03:42:000

Heavy users of copper saw a solid decline in output in January, boding ill for future demand for the metal in coming months. The Global Copper Users PMI Output Index hit a near ten-year low at the start of 2019, indicating a downturn of the scale not seen since the Financial Crisis. This giv… read more...

Slowing Global Growth Likely To Test Risk Appetite

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 04:16:11:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, head of global market research Fear of US Fed overtightening was a major catalyst behind the global market spasms late last year. The good news is that financial conditions have broadly loosened since then, particularly in the US, bringing relief to ner… read more...

Slowing Global Growth Likely To Test Risk Appetite

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 04:16:11:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, head of global market research Fear of US Fed overtightening was a major catalyst behind the global market spasms late last year. The good news is that financial conditions have broadly loosened since then, particularly in the US, bringing relief to ner… read more...

Slowing Global Growth Likely To Test Risk Appetite

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-21 04:16:11:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, head of global market research Fear of US Fed overtightening was a major catalyst behind the global market spasms late last year. The good news is that financial conditions have broadly loosened since then, particularly in the US, bringing relief to ner… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-20 03:35:10:000

By Jill Mislinski Seven out of eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through February 19, 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a 12.33% gain and in second is the Shanghai SSE with a gain of 11.78%. In third is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 10.75%. Coming … read more...

Diverging Trends: A Look At Earnings Growth Around The World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-20 01:29:12:000

By Jeffrey Kleintop As stocks have posted solid gains so far in 2019, analysts' earnings per share estimates have been falling. That isn't unusual, as analysts are often too optimistic at the start of the year. But, the pace of the decline in estimates has been eye-catching, as you can see… read more...

Rozendal Partners Year-End Letter 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-18 09:20:00:000

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more … read more...

Rozendal Partners Year-End Letter 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-18 09:20:00:000

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more … read more...

Credit Exhaustion Is Global

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-18 04:24:48:000

Europe is awash in credit exhaustion, and so is China. The signs are everywhere: credit exhaustion is global , and that means the global growth story is over: revenues and profits are all sliding as lending dries up and defaults pile up. What is credit exhaustion? Qualified buyers don'… read more...

Credit Exhaustion Is Global

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-18 04:24:48:000

Europe is awash in credit exhaustion, and so is China. The signs are everywhere: credit exhaustion is global , and that means the global growth story is over: revenues and profits are all sliding as lending dries up and defaults pile up. What is credit exhaustion? Qualified buyers don'… read more...

Merk Research: U.S. Equity Market Chart Book February 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-17 11:10:00:000

Read more … read more...

Currencies Threatened By A Credit Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-15 04:19:41:000

In this article, I draw attention to the similarities between the current economic situation and that of 1929, and the threat to today's unbacked currencies. There is the coincidence of trade protectionism with the top of the credit cycle, and there are the inflationary events that preceded it… read more...

Currencies Threatened By A Credit Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-15 04:19:41:000

In this article, I draw attention to the similarities between the current economic situation and that of 1929, and the threat to today's unbacked currencies. There is the coincidence of trade protectionism with the top of the credit cycle, and there are the inflationary events that preceded it… read more...

The Long View: The Problem With Populism

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-14 05:35:18:000

By Douglas J. Peebles, Eric Winograd Transcript: This video is the second in a three-part series. Click here to access part one, The Long View: Debt and Demographics. Doug Peebles It's sort of hard to exactly define populism. Oftentimes, populist expectations lean a little b… read more...

Market Outlook: Balanced But Still Biased To Upside

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-14 03:50:10:000

Impact of lower rates, China tax cuts and political progress likely to be evident by mid-2019 Weak incoming data, both in respect of profits forecasts and the global economy, are in sharp contrast to the strong performance of risk assets such as equities and corporate credit during 2019. C… read more...

Rate Hikes Off The Table?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-13 03:35:32:000

It is critical to keep in mind that monetary policy changes impact the real economy at a lag of several quarters. So the tightening cycle that ran from December 2015 to December 2018 will continue to dampen global demand over the next several quarters, even if central banks tighten no further … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-12 04:14:48:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through February 4, 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with an 11.99% gain and in second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.96%. In third is the Shanghai SSE with a gain of 7.65%. Coming in last is … read more...

A Practical Guide To Investing Internationally

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-11 07:38:03:000

Chris discusses the case for international investing through a core-satellite approach with specific countries. Given the strong performance of U.S. stocks in recent years, it is no surprise that investors have some skepticism when it comes to international investing. In fact, behavioral e… read more...

The V In Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-11 03:04:36:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities The equity rally is likely just the start of a volatile adjustment to a new fundamental reality. "Investors who sit out now could miss a chunk of this year's returns." Those were the last words that I wrote in one… read more...

The Real Risks In Today's Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-10 07:41:59:000

By Michael Hasenstab, Ph.D., Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Templeton Global Macro While some observers might worry that the current global economic cycle is ending, Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab characterizes the slowing growth we are experiencing as a… read more...

This Week In Money - February 9, 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-10 01:52:44:000

Ross Clark - Oil, copper, markets. Marc Faber - China, US, trade, global economy. Ed Steer - Manipulation of gold and silver prices. Physical gold vs. paper gold. Larry Reaugh - President & CEO of American Manganese Inc. Produced by HoweStreet.com … read more...

Cushioning The Blow: Key Factors That Could Smooth The Road Ahead For The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-09 02:47:12:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed recent headlines over the global economic slowdown, the shift to a more dovish stance among many central banks and market impacts of the ongoing trade nego… read more...

Merk Research: U.S. Business Cycle Chart Book February 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 09:25:00:000

Read more … read more...

Merk Research: U.S. Business Cycle Chart Book February 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 09:25:00:000

Read more … read more...

Global Recession Risks Right Now

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 04:53:22:000

Germany is a tough one to get around. Argentina falls into a bad recession, you can get by believing that's not particularly unusual or interesting. If its neighbor Brazil becomes shaky, you can still chalk it up to EM volatility. Italy is Europe's perpetual basket case. China's a little more … read more...

Global Recession Risks Right Now

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 04:53:22:000

Germany is a tough one to get around. Argentina falls into a bad recession, you can get by believing that's not particularly unusual or interesting. If its neighbor Brazil becomes shaky, you can still chalk it up to EM volatility. Italy is Europe's perpetual basket case. China's a little more … read more...

Global Earnings Revisions Still On A Downward Trend

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 04:24:11:000

Equities bridging a gap in corporate performance - for now Consensus profits forecasts on a global basis remain on a downward trend even as January's recovery in risk assets such as equities and corporate debt continues into February. The primary reason for this at first sight paradoxical … read more...

Global Earnings Revisions Still On A Downward Trend

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-07 04:24:11:000

Equities bridging a gap in corporate performance - for now Consensus profits forecasts on a global basis remain on a downward trend even as January's recovery in risk assets such as equities and corporate debt continues into February. The primary reason for this at first sight paradoxical … read more...

The Coming Global Financial Crisis: Debt Exhaustion

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-06 01:43:31:000

The global economy is way past the point of maximum debt saturation, and so the next stop is debt exhaustion. Just as generals fight the last war, central banks always fight the last financial crisis. The Global Financial Crisis ((GFC)) of 2008-09 was primarily one of liquidity as market… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-05 03:32:03:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through February 4, 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with an 11.38% gain, and in second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 8.56%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 6.63%. Coming… read more...

Why Global Growth Will Likely Slow In 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-04 07:08:20:000

By Elga Bartsch, PhD Elga explains why we see a synchronized global slowdown ahead in 2019 and what this means for central bank policies. We see a synchronized global slowdown ahead in 2019 as the U.S. economy becomes a drag rather than a driver. The U.S. slowdown reflects, in part, … read more...

The Wolf Street Report: February 3, 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-04 06:31:46:000

Is this the Beginning of a Globalized Housing Downturn? Housing has become a global financialized asset class. The possibilities seemed unlimited. And this flow of money, along with local factors, has created enormous distortions in some markets. But the priciest markets are now starting t… read more...

This Week In Money - February 2 , 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-02-03 02:20:01:000

Ross Clark Precious metals, US dollar, Canadian dollar Anthony Scaramucci Markets, uptick rule, international trade. Victor Adair Global economy, crude oil . Larry Reaugh President & CEO of American Manganese Inc. Simon Dya… read more...

Macro Ops Podcast: Macro Ops Monthly Intelligence Report, Dollar, Tesla And Birds With Alex Barrow

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 05:23:09:000

Chris sits down and chats with Macro-Ops Co-Founder Alex Barrow. This one goes deep! If you are looking for an abridged version of the Monthly Intelligence Report, this isnt it. If you want to download Alexs views on the markets into your brain operating group, this is the ep… read more...

Macro Ops Podcast: Macro Ops Monthly Intelligence Report, Dollar, Tesla And Birds With Alex Barrow

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 05:23:09:000

Chris sits down and chats with Macro-Ops Co-Founder Alex Barrow. This one goes deep! If you are looking for an abridged version of the Monthly Intelligence Report, this isnt it. If you want to download Alexs views on the markets into your brain operating group, this is the ep… read more...

Macro Ops Podcast: Macro Ops Monthly Intelligence Report, Dollar, Tesla And Birds With Alex Barrow

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 05:23:09:000

Chris sits down and chats with Macro-Ops Co-Founder Alex Barrow. This one goes deep! If you are looking for an abridged version of the Monthly Intelligence Report, this isnt it. If you want to download Alexs views on the markets into your brain operating group, this is the ep… read more...

Where Is The Value?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 04:18:59:000

Investors always want to know what's cheap - cheap relative to the opportunity set and relative to history. Cheapness could refer to any number of things - price relative to trailing twelve months earnings, to trailing earnings over multiple years, to analyst earnings estimates, to long-run pr… read more...

Where Is The Value?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 04:18:59:000

Investors always want to know what's cheap - cheap relative to the opportunity set and relative to history. Cheapness could refer to any number of things - price relative to trailing twelve months earnings, to trailing earnings over multiple years, to analyst earnings estimates, to long-run pr… read more...

Where Is The Value?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-30 04:18:59:000

Investors always want to know what's cheap - cheap relative to the opportunity set and relative to history. Cheapness could refer to any number of things - price relative to trailing twelve months earnings, to trailing earnings over multiple years, to analyst earnings estimates, to long-run pr… read more...

Global Markets: 8 Issues To Watch This Week

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-29 20:30:54:000

Originally published January 28, 2019 Weekly Market Compass: Key votes and critical data releases could influence the markets as January ends By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on Jan 28, 2019, in Market & Economic Last week was momentous as experts… read more...

Global Markets: 8 Issues To Watch This Week

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-29 20:30:54:000

Originally published January 28, 2019 Weekly Market Compass: Key votes and critical data releases could influence the markets as January ends By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on Jan 28, 2019, in Market & Economic Last week was momentous as experts… read more...

Global Markets: 8 Issues To Watch This Week

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-29 20:30:54:000

Originally published January 28, 2019 Weekly Market Compass: Key votes and critical data releases could influence the markets as January ends By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on Jan 28, 2019, in Market & Economic Last week was momentous as experts… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-29 03:01:26:000

By Jill Mislinski Seven of eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains through January 28, 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a 9.74% gain, and in second place is Germany's DAXK with a gain of 5.96%. In third place is Shanghai's SSE with a gain of 5.34%. Coming in… read more...

Is A Global Economic Cooldown Brewing?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-26 08:04:11:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Quantitative Investment Strategy Analyst Dr. Kara Ng and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent slowdown in global growth, impacts of the five-week partial U.S. government shutdown, and the effects of go… read more...

Is A Global Economic Cooldown Brewing?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-26 08:04:11:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Quantitative Investment Strategy Analyst Dr. Kara Ng and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent slowdown in global growth, impacts of the five-week partial U.S. government shutdown, and the effects of go… read more...

Is A Global Economic Cooldown Brewing?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-26 08:04:11:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Quantitative Investment Strategy Analyst Dr. Kara Ng and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent slowdown in global growth, impacts of the five-week partial U.S. government shutdown, and the effects of go… read more...

Markets Grapple With Government Dysfunction

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-24 01:01:05:000

Weekly Market Compass: Geopolitics threaten to drag down economic growth By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist in Market & Economic Last week saw government dysfunction on full display in several different countries. While politicians in the UK and US cont… read more...

Markets Grapple With Government Dysfunction

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-24 01:01:05:000

Weekly Market Compass: Geopolitics threaten to drag down economic growth By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist in Market & Economic Last week saw government dysfunction on full display in several different countries. While politicians in the UK and US cont… read more...

3 Insights For Investors From Davos

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-23 19:05:06:000

By Philipp Hildebrand Globalization 4.0 is the theme of this weeks 2019 World Economic Forum. Philipp shares three insights for investors from BlackRocks discussions in Davos. The 2019 World Economic Forum this week in Davos, Switzerland focuses on the t… read more...

3 Insights For Investors From Davos

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-23 19:05:06:000

By Philipp Hildebrand Globalization 4.0 is the theme of this weeks 2019 World Economic Forum. Philipp shares three insights for investors from BlackRocks discussions in Davos. The 2019 World Economic Forum this week in Davos, Switzerland focuses on the t… read more...

3 Insights For Investors From Davos

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-23 19:05:06:000

By Philipp Hildebrand Globalization 4.0 is the theme of this weeks 2019 World Economic Forum. Philipp shares three insights for investors from BlackRocks discussions in Davos. The 2019 World Economic Forum this week in Davos, Switzerland focuses on the t… read more...

Tax War: Will Global Competition To Lower Taxes Lift Growth?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-23 02:09:53:000

By Jeffrey Kleintop The "trade war" may be last year's news; a "tax war" may be getting underway this year. Competition to lower corporate tax rates around the world this year may help to support slowing global economic and earnings growth, potentially offsetting some of the drag from last… read more...

Are Global Stocks Divorced From Reality?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-22 09:11:10:000

By Mark Phelps and Dev Chakrabarti Equities declined around the world in 2018, and valuations fell sharply. The risks are clearly significant - but have stocks fallen too far? With earnings still expected to advance this year, we think selective investors can find attractive entry points. … read more...

A Weakening Global Expansion Amid Growing Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-21 09:24:45:000

By Gita Gopinath, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research of the International Monetary Fund ((IMF)) While global growth in 2018 remained close to post-crisis highs, the global expansion is weakening and at a rate that is somewhat faster than expected. This update of the World Econom… read more...

The Global Economy: Rising Recession Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-20 07:58:54:000

The danger of a global economic downturn has risen, but the probability of a recession in 2019 is still low. After a brief spurt in 2017 and 2018, growth in the G7 economies is reverting to trend, and emerging markets are unlikely to come to the rescue. This process is likely to be delayed in … read more...

Populism Is Alive And Well: What's The Big-Picture Impact?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-20 07:41:08:000

By Guy Bruten It's been two years since our initial research on populism, and populist-inspired policies continue to advance today on multiple fronts. As we see it, investors should expect more of the same ahead - influencing everything from global economic growth and inflation to policies… read more...

This Week In Money - January 19, 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-20 02:59:29:000

Ross Clark Stock markets, gold, crude oil, Canadian dollar. Rick Rule Gold, silver, his biggest win. Wolf Richter - Automotive sector, global slowdown, US dollar. Larry Reaugh - President & CEO of American Manganese Inc. Jim Pettit … read more...

A World Of Debt - Where Are The Risks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-18 04:41:07:000

Since the financial crisis of 2008/2009, global debt has increased to reach a new all-time high. This trend has been documented before in articles such as the 2014 paper from the International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies Deleveraging? What deleveraging? The IMF has als… read more...

A World Of Debt - Where Are The Risks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-18 04:41:07:000

Since the financial crisis of 2008/2009, global debt has increased to reach a new all-time high. This trend has been documented before in articles such as the 2014 paper from the International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies Deleveraging? What deleveraging? The IMF has als… read more...

The Few, The Proud, The Outperformers

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-17 04:28:14:000

As risks of a global slowdown have broadly mounted, we have highlighted the standout performance of the US relative to the rest of the world. As we show in our Global Macro Dashboard (subscription required) published on Wednesday morning, including the United States, there are only five nati… read more...

What Will It Take To Trade Places In 2019?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-16 05:35:00:000

By Stephen S. Smith, Managing Director & Portfolio Manager and Brian L. Giuliano, CFA, Vice President, Portfolio Management Late last year, we proposed the idea of the U.S. trading places with the global economy in 2019. We explain why global growth decoupled from the U.S. last year, a… read more...

2019 Global Economic Outlook

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-15 05:31:10:000

Transcript: Jeff Kleintop: Global growth may slow in 2019 as worsening financial conditions combine with full employment and rising prices. Global stocks may peak sometime in 2019 if global economic indicators signal the gathering clouds of a global recession. For all the concerns abo… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-15 02:20:49:000

By Jill Mislinski One of eight indexes on our world watch list posted a loss in the first week of 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a 4.65% gain, and in second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 2.89%. In third place is Shanghai's SSE with a gain of 2.86%. Comi… read more...

Stocks Are Cheap(ish)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 07:20:23:000

With the exception of a few, hardy centenarian traders, nobody has ever witnessed a December like the one that just ended. A difficult year ended with a collapse in equities as investors began to discount a growing possibility of an economic slowdown. Globally stocks fell roughly 8%, leaving e… read more...

Stocks Are Cheap(ish)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 07:20:23:000

With the exception of a few, hardy centenarian traders, nobody has ever witnessed a December like the one that just ended. A difficult year ended with a collapse in equities as investors began to discount a growing possibility of an economic slowdown. Globally stocks fell roughly 8%, leaving e… read more...

Stocks Are Cheap(ish)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 07:20:23:000

With the exception of a few, hardy centenarian traders, nobody has ever witnessed a December like the one that just ended. A difficult year ended with a collapse in equities as investors began to discount a growing possibility of an economic slowdown. Globally stocks fell roughly 8%, leaving e… read more...

Are Fed Rate Hikes Still On The Table For 2019?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 01:49:14:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent downtick in business confidence, the likelihood of a pause in interest-rate increases by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) … read more...

Are Fed Rate Hikes Still On The Table For 2019?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 01:49:14:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent downtick in business confidence, the likelihood of a pause in interest-rate increases by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) … read more...

Are Fed Rate Hikes Still On The Table For 2019?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-12 01:49:14:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discussed the recent downtick in business confidence, the likelihood of a pause in interest-rate increases by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) … read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-11 06:38:56:000

Danielle was a guest with Kerry Lutz on The Financial Survival Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here. As mentioned in this discussion, here is a link to my article A word to the gold bugs. … read more...

2019: Stormy Markets Ahead?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-11 02:30:25:000

Market volatility has spiked as global trade tensions and recession fears mount. Kim Parlee speaks with Michael O'Brien, Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at TD Asset Management, about the key headwinds markets will face in Read more … read more...

Weekly Edge: Global Growth Poised To Slow, Not Stop

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-10 06:20:09:000

By Troy Tanzy Co-authored by Daniel Poppe Twice a year, the World Bank releases estimates of how fast it expects the global economy to grow in the near term. In June 2018, the institution expected the global economy to grow by 3.1% in 2018. This month, it stated that the global economy… read more...

Highly Coupled Global Growth Engines Slowing All Together

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-10 04:21:36:000

As shown below, German industrial activity fell for a third month in November 2018 and raised the risk that Europe's largest economy is slipping into recession. See : Trade hopes trump dismal German data for European equities. At the same time, the Chinese economy - the world's second large… read more...

Diego Parrilla On The Perpetual Search For Extreme Optionality

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-10 03:46:56:000

Diego Parrilla has been eerily prescient in calling major turning points in a variety of markets over the past several years. Back in 2014, he published The Energy World Is Flat , in which he detailed the coming crash in the price of crude oil and the various dynamics that would ensure such a… read more...

...And Get Bigger

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-10 02:56:08:000

Just as there is gradation for positive numbers, there is color to negative ones, too. On the plus side, consistently small increments marked by the infrequent jump is never to be associated with a healthy economy let alone one that is booming. A truly booming economy is one in which the small… read more...

Fixed-Income Outlook: 3 Themes We're Watching In 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-09 17:40:16:000

By Douglas J. Peebles We began 2018 expecting a rough ride - and we got it. Global growth was strong in the first half of 2018 but eased in the second half. More importantly for investors, the era of easy money was ending, and with it came a likely end to the nearly uninterrupted rise in… read more...

The Gods Of The Copybook Headings

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-09 08:26:24:000

The greatest market threats for 2019 are mostly political ones: The Democrats trying to impeach President Trump and causing market havoc. The Fed keeps on raising interest rates and the American economy grinds to a halt. A "Hard Brexit." "Brexit" leading to an implosion in the Britis… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-08 04:26:44:000

By Jill Mislinski One of eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains in the first week of 2019. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a 2.81% gain, and in second place is Shanghai's SSE with a gain of 2.75%. In third place is Germany's DAXK with a gain of 1.58%. Coming in … read more...

Global Equities: 2018 Review, 2019 Outlook

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 07:08:43:000

By Sharon Fay Transcript: If you go back to the beginning of the year, we were in a period of synchronized global economic growth. That was going to support earnings growth. And here in the US, we were going to have an extra kicker from the tax cuts. So, I think we went into the y… read more...

Global Equities: 2018 Review, 2019 Outlook

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 07:08:43:000

By Sharon Fay Transcript: If you go back to the beginning of the year, we were in a period of synchronized global economic growth. That was going to support earnings growth. And here in the US, we were going to have an extra kicker from the tax cuts. So, I think we went into the y… read more...

Global Equities: 2018 Review, 2019 Outlook

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 07:08:43:000

By Sharon Fay Transcript: If you go back to the beginning of the year, we were in a period of synchronized global economic growth. That was going to support earnings growth. And here in the US, we were going to have an extra kicker from the tax cuts. So, I think we went into the y… read more...

Global Equities: 2018 Review, 2019 Outlook

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 07:08:43:000

By Sharon Fay Transcript: If you go back to the beginning of the year, we were in a period of synchronized global economic growth. That was going to support earnings growth. And here in the US, we were going to have an extra kicker from the tax cuts. So, I think we went into the y… read more...

Our Best Charts And Calls Of 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 00:12:02:000

Last week, we published the 2018 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report - a summary of some of the best, worst, and most notable charts of 2018 (and the ones to watch in 2019). This article brings you a look at what I think is one of the most important sections of the … read more...

Our Best Charts And Calls Of 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 00:12:02:000

Last week, we published the 2018 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report - a summary of some of the best, worst, and most notable charts of 2018 (and the ones to watch in 2019). This article brings you a look at what I think is one of the most important sections of the … read more...

Our Best Charts And Calls Of 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 00:12:02:000

Last week, we published the 2018 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report - a summary of some of the best, worst, and most notable charts of 2018 (and the ones to watch in 2019). This article brings you a look at what I think is one of the most important sections of the … read more...

Our Best Charts And Calls Of 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-03 00:12:02:000

Last week, we published the 2018 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report - a summary of some of the best, worst, and most notable charts of 2018 (and the ones to watch in 2019). This article brings you a look at what I think is one of the most important sections of the … read more...

World Markets Update: 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2019-01-02 01:54:46:000

By Jill Mislinski Only one of eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains in 2018. The top performer this year was India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 6.67%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a loss of 6.24%. In fourth is the Nikkei 225 with a loss of 12.08%. Coming in last is Sha… read more...

What 'Global Growth Slowdown'?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-27 03:05:03:000

B y Gary Alexander the only thing we have to fear is fear itselfnameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror. FDR, 1933. We are suffering through the sixth correction of 10% or more in the nearly-10-year history of this bull market. The last corre… read more...

What 'Global Growth Slowdown'?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-27 03:05:03:000

B y Gary Alexander the only thing we have to fear is fear itselfnameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror. FDR, 1933. We are suffering through the sixth correction of 10% or more in the nearly-10-year history of this bull market. The last corre… read more...

What 'Global Growth Slowdown'?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-27 03:05:03:000

B y Gary Alexander the only thing we have to fear is fear itselfnameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror. FDR, 1933. We are suffering through the sixth correction of 10% or more in the nearly-10-year history of this bull market. The last corre… read more...

Is It Time For Small-Cap Stocks Overseas To Shine?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-25 05:21:46:000

By Ed Lugo, Senior Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Franklin Equity Group As global markets increasingly ponder how long US economic growth can continue, Franklin Equity Group's Ed Lugo says he's looking for potential investment opportunities outside the United States. He explains why … read more...

Is It Time For Small-Cap Stocks Overseas To Shine?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-25 05:21:46:000

By Ed Lugo, Senior Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Franklin Equity Group As global markets increasingly ponder how long US economic growth can continue, Franklin Equity Group's Ed Lugo says he's looking for potential investment opportunities outside the United States. He explains why … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-25 05:16:47:000

By Jill Mislinski Only one of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, December 24, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 4.90%. In second place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 11.42%. In third place is our own S&P 50… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-25 05:16:47:000

By Jill Mislinski Only one of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, December 24, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 4.90%. In second place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 11.42%. In third place is our own S&P 50… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For December 17-21

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-23 11:49:48:000

The Reserve Bank of Australia released the latest batch of meeting minutes , which contained the following assessment of the global economy (emphasis added): However, growth in a number of economies had slowed this year; softer external demand, at least partly related to trade tensions an… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For December 17-21

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-23 11:49:48:000

The Reserve Bank of Australia released the latest batch of meeting minutes , which contained the following assessment of the global economy (emphasis added): However, growth in a number of economies had slowed this year; softer external demand, at least partly related to trade tensions an… read more...

5 Charts That Explain The Global Economy In 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-21 08:17:07:000

By Oya Celasun, Chief of the World Economic Studies Division, IMF's Research Department; Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, Deputy Director, IMF's Research Department; and Maurice Obstfeld, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at IMF The global economy started 2018 on an upbeat note, buoy… read more...

5 Charts That Explain The Global Economy In 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-21 08:17:07:000

By Oya Celasun, Chief of the World Economic Studies Division, IMF's Research Department; Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, Deputy Director, IMF's Research Department; and Maurice Obstfeld, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at IMF The global economy started 2018 on an upbeat note, buoy… read more...

The Fed Rate Decision Is A Tipping Point For The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-19 01:15:59:000

The world is at a crossroads We are at a juncture for the world economy, and for many reasons. To start, we are dealing with a severe tightening of financial conditions. Its not just interest rate tightening, we are also in the process of a liquidity tightening, and together, these… read more...

The Fed Rate Decision Is A Tipping Point For The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-19 01:15:59:000

The world is at a crossroads We are at a juncture for the world economy, and for many reasons. To start, we are dealing with a severe tightening of financial conditions. Its not just interest rate tightening, we are also in the process of a liquidity tightening, and together, these… read more...

3 Factors Supporting Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-18 15:28:16:000

It may seem like a poor environment for EM stocks, but they outperformed in the recent volatility. Russ explains why. Global stocks are testing the fall lows, the VIX is over 25 and oil continues to collapse - not the ideal environment for emerging market ((EM)) stocks. Yet, while EM equit… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For December 10-14

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-16 09:18:44:000

China is now the second largest economy in the world. Unfortunately, it's slowing . Retail sales grew 8.1% Y/Y. But the multi-year trend continues lower: Industrial production is slow and weakening: According to the NY Times , other statistics are weaker [emphasis added]: But beneat… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For December 10-14

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-16 09:18:44:000

China is now the second largest economy in the world. Unfortunately, it's slowing . Retail sales grew 8.1% Y/Y. But the multi-year trend continues lower: Industrial production is slow and weakening: According to the NY Times , other statistics are weaker [emphasis added]: But beneat… read more...

Top 10 Economic Predictions For 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-16 07:44:14:000

The global economy started 2018 with strong, synchronized growth, but the momentum faded as the year progressed and growth trends diverged. Notably, the economies of the eurozone, the United Kingdom, Japan, and China began to weaken. In contrast, the US economy accelerated, thanks to fiscal st… read more...

Top 10 Economic Predictions For 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-16 07:44:14:000

The global economy started 2018 with strong, synchronized growth, but the momentum faded as the year progressed and growth trends diverged. Notably, the economies of the eurozone, the United Kingdom, Japan, and China began to weaken. In contrast, the US economy accelerated, thanks to fiscal st… read more...

Debt Bombs Ticking Across The Globe

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-14 10:16:38:000

There are times when writing from the macro perspective can be challenging, particularly when macro takes a backseat as it is prone to do during parts of the business cycle. This year macro is back with a bang. JPMorgan recently assessed the chance of a recession in 2019 has risen to 35% f… read more...

Debt Bombs Ticking Across The Globe

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-14 10:16:38:000

There are times when writing from the macro perspective can be challenging, particularly when macro takes a backseat as it is prone to do during parts of the business cycle. This year macro is back with a bang. JPMorgan recently assessed the chance of a recession in 2019 has risen to 35% f… read more...

Citi says `buy the dip' in global equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-14 09:28:52:000

Global stock markets are more pessimistic about 2019 corporate earnings than analysts are, Citigroup strategists write in a note. That means there's an opportunity to "buy the dip" in global equities, they say. More news on: Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF, Cambria … read more...

Citi says `buy the dip' in global equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-14 09:28:52:000

Global stock markets are more pessimistic about 2019 corporate earnings than analysts are, Citigroup strategists write in a note. That means there's an opportunity to "buy the dip" in global equities, they say. More news on: Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF, Cambria … read more...

Has Global Recession Already Begun?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-12 06:17:20:000

JEFF KLEINTOP: Some investors are asking, 'Has a global recession already begun?' We've seen a big plunge in oil prices in the last couple of months, and two major countries saw their economies shrink in the third quarter, and that may be causing the markets to price in the start of a glo… read more...

Has Global Recession Already Begun?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-12 06:17:20:000

JEFF KLEINTOP: Some investors are asking, 'Has a global recession already begun?' We've seen a big plunge in oil prices in the last couple of months, and two major countries saw their economies shrink in the third quarter, and that may be causing the markets to price in the start of a glo… read more...

Jeffrey Gundlach: Global Growth Is Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-12 05:00:00:000

Original Post Jeffrey Gundlach's DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund webcast for the month of December 2018, discussing the how the global growth is slowing. TAB I - Global Economy "Scared sick looking at it" - Ernest Hemingway MSCI ACWI and Central Banks Source: Bloomberg, D… read more...

Jeffrey Gundlach: Global Growth Is Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-12 05:00:00:000

Original Post Jeffrey Gundlach's DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund webcast for the month of December 2018, discussing the how the global growth is slowing. TAB I - Global Economy "Scared sick looking at it" - Ernest Hemingway MSCI ACWI and Central Banks Source: Bloomberg, D… read more...

2019 Market Outlook: Global Stocks And Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-10 13:31:18:000

By Jeffrey Kleintop Key Points Global growth is likely to slow as the economic cycle nears a peak. Trade tensions, inflation and interest rates are key indicators to watch as financial conditions tighten and act as a drag on markets and the economy. Watch the gap between unemployment… read more...

Global PMI Lifts Further From 2-Year Low But Outlook Blighted By Weak Order Books

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-10 08:23:45:000

Global business activity grew at a marginally improved pace for a second successive month in November, albeit continuing to expand at one of the weakest rates seen over the past two years. Growth is also likely to soften again in coming months: sentiment about the year ahead and inflows of new… read more...

Populism: Get Used To It

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-09 11:24:55:000

By Darren Williams Transcript We think populism is here to stay and that it will be a persistent part of the investment backdrop for many years to come. What populism, in particular what the trade tension that we've seen over the last year, does is to alter the mix or the trade-of… read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

Markets Sell Off. Overdone Or More To Come?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 12:14:16:000

Market volatility resumes after US-China trade truce was announced at G20 Summit. Is this just short-term gyration or part of a longer downward trend? Kim Parlee talks with Michael Craig, Senior Portfolio Manager, TD Asset Read more … read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

2019 Global Market Outlook: The Late-Late Cycle Show

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-06 09:50:24:000

Synopsis U.S. Federal Reserve tightening, trade wars, China uncertainty, Italy's budget standoff with the European Commission and Brexit imply that 2018's volatility should continue into 2019. We believe that 2020 marks the danger zone for a U.S. recession, which gives equity markets some up… read more...

Global Investment Outlook 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 14:39:56:000

Cautiously Optimistic Heading Into 2019 Despite the latest escalation in trade tensions and political vulnerabilities in Europe, the narrative of a synchronized global expansion remains firmly intact, while the accommodative monetary and fiscal impulse should allow the expansion to continue … read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part II

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 10:12:23:000

The continued efforts of our research team to identify and quantify the possibility that the capital shift which has taken place over the past 18+ months may be shifting to other assets is in the interest of all global investors. Is there a new, more opportunistic investment that will take awa… read more...

Global Manufacturing PMI Holds At 2 Year Low As World Exports Fall For Third Month Running

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-12-05 08:44:02:000

Global manufacturing growth was unchanged from October's 23-month low in November. Exports fell for a third month in a row and the number of countries reporting a deterioration of business conditions rose to the highest since 2016. In a sign that growth may slow further, optimism about the y… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting - Part 1

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 06:05:44:000

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market. Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global econ… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

G20 And The Financial War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 04:46:53:000

This weekend, the G20 nations meet at Buenos Aires. The most important issue will be America's use of trade policy, ostensibly to bring an end to China's unfair trade practices. Rather, it could mark a significant milestone in the cold war against China and drive the global economy into a sl… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

New Currents For Shifting Wealth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-30 03:12:06:000

The 2019 OECD Perspectives on Global Development ((PGD)) has been released in Incheon, Korea. Since its inception in 2010, the OECD Development Centre's PGD series has investigated the increasing economic weight of developing countries in the world economy, a phenomenon referred to as "shift… read more...

Zollverein

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 10:08:09:000

"An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war." - Montesquieu Watching with interest the evolution of the Brexit negotiations in conjunction with the tone down stance between Italy and the European Commission surrounding the budget, while waiting for the next G20 and potential US… read more...

Country Stock Markets As A Percent Of World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 07:39:03:000

Below is a look at the percentage of total world stock market cap that each country's stock market makes up. For each country, we show its percentage of world market cap as of today, as it stood on 9/20 when the S&P 500 made its last all-time high, as it stood on election day 2016, and as … read more...

2018 Year-To-Date Country Stock Market Returns

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-29 07:34:32:000

Below is an updated look at year-to-date stock market returns (in local currency) for 75 countries around the world. 2018 has turned into a red year for equities as the average country is now down 3.75% YTD. Just 20 countries (26.7%) are in the green for the year, while 55 are in the red. As… read more...

The Direction Is (Globally) Clear

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 05:03:44:000

It is definitely one period that they got wrong. Still, IHS Markit's Composite PMI for the US economy has been one of the better forward-looking indicators around. Tying to real GDP, this blend of manufacturing and services sentiment has predicted the general economic trend in the United State… read more...

Global Debt Increase 2018 Vs. Gold Investment: Must See Charts

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 03:59:02:000

Global debt increased at the fastest rate at the beginning of 2018. In just one quarter, total global debt jumped by more than $8 trillion. That is quite surprising as total world debt rose by $22 trillion for the full year in 2017. Thus, the increase in global debt last year averaged $5.5 tri… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Macro Divergences, Warning Signs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 01:27:40:000

In this video, we run through the free weekly email newsletter "The Top 5 Charts of the Week" and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the … read more...

Central Banks To The Rescue? Don't Count On It

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-28 00:59:18:000

By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on Nov. 26, 2018, in Market & Economic Stocks continued to slide last week, and most major indices are negative for the year-to-date period - some having posted double-digit losses. As I noted in my commentary last week ,… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-27 11:00:55:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 19, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 5.80%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 0.64%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 4… read more...

Investors May Get Some Good News For A Change

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-27 06:40:22:000

By Jeffrey Kleintop Key Points Ominous signs for the world economy may be causing stocks to price in an imminent global recession. However, plunging oil prices, negative third-quarter GDP growth in major economies and the decline in the global manufacturing PMI appear to be isolated,… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

World Trade Falls, With Tariffs Making Their Mark

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 09:13:39:000

By Joanna Konings, Senior Economist, International Trade Analysis Q3 saw the largest increase in tariffs so far in 2018 but has also been the most successful quarter this year for growth in trade volumes. However, momentum stopped building in September, and headwinds from economic acti… read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle's Bi-Weekly Market Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-24 03:28:55:000

Danielle was guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - The Return Of Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-22 01:20:05:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the f… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - The Return Of Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-22 01:20:05:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the f… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-20 06:03:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 19, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.80%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 0.64%. In third place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with… read more...

Vanguard sees global growth slowing ahead

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-19 15:36:02:000

Global economic growth should slow, but shouldn't slip into recession next year, Vanguard says in its global outlook summary. More news on: Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury Portfolio ETF, iShares Core U.S. Treasury Bond ETF, BlackRock Enhanced Government Fund, Global news and forex, Financia… read more...

9 In 10 In The Red: Asset Markets YTD Returns Signal Risk Repricing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-18 11:39:37:000

According to a recent research note from the Deutsche Bank, 89% of global macro assets are posting losses on year-to-date basis. This is the highest level of losses in more than a century. Given the scale of financial risk mis-pricing in equities and bonds markets in the post-QE period, we a… read more...

China's Slowdown Will Have Significant Global Effects

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-17 14:16:33:000

By Mickey D. Levy China's outsized growth in the last two decades has lifted it to the second largest economy in the world, a truly outstanding accomplishment (Charts 1 and 2). Its current target for real GDP growth - 6.5% - is above its slowing potential and unsustainable. It's unrealisti… read more...

Short And Sharp: Take Cover, Worse Is Yet To Come

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-16 04:57:46:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors October's slide in global equities erased around $5 trillion of market capitalization; triggered by a perfect storm of a hawkish Federal Reserve, softening US economic data, and negative earnings guidance. Markets have… read more...

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-14 10:13:18:000

While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth. Or should I say, the "supposed growth." The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar of GDP growth have been long gone for more th… read more...

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-14 10:13:18:000

While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth. Or should I say, the "supposed growth." The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar of GDP growth have been long gone for more th… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-13 02:47:22:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, November 12, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 2.96%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 1.97%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 2… read more...

Trade Downturn Keeps Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-12 03:32:00:000

The following is an extract from IHS Markit's monthly PMI overview presentation. The full report can be viewed at the bottom of this article. Global PMI stuck close to two-year low in October Global business activity grew at a marginally improved rate in October, suggesting the pace of e… read more...

Understanding The Global Recession Of 2019

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-12 02:03:44:000

Isn't it obvious that repeating the policies of 2009 won't be enough to save the system from a long-delayed reset? 2019 is shaping up to be the year in which all the policies that worked in the past will no longer work. As we all know, the Global Financial Meltdown/recession of 2008-09 w… read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

China Won't Bail Out Global Markets This Time Around

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 03:56:40:000

I believe there are three important drivers to markets right now. Two long-term and one short-term. These are: China is actively trying to restructure its economy and end its incessant leveraging. A growing issuance of treasury paper, driven by a widening budget deficit and quantitative … read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

Video: Top 5 Charts Of The Week - Oil, Equities, Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-08 02:35:38:000

In this video we run through the free weekly email newsletter " The Top 5 Charts of the Week " and add a bit of extra comments and context. It's a useful tour across some of our latest work and thinking and just a great selection of global macro/market charts. This week we look at the fol… read more...

3 Things I Think I Think - What In The Hell Is Going On Out There?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-07 01:43:50:000

Here are some things I think I am thinking about. 1) Has Mr. Market Finally Lost His Mind? It seems that everyone is losing their mind over politics, so I've been rather amazed that the financial market has held it together this long. That changed a bit in October as the MSCI All World Sto… read more...

The Link Between Policy Uncertainty And Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-05 06:00:55:000

It seems over the past few years the only certainty has been rising uncertainty, and the folk at Economic Policy Uncertainty have a set of indexes which map this trend out well. Their indicators use algorithms to generate readings based on the flow of news. As the charts below show, there ar… read more...

The Link Between Policy Uncertainty And Global Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-05 06:00:55:000

It seems over the past few years the only certainty has been rising uncertainty, and the folk at Economic Policy Uncertainty have a set of indexes which map this trend out well. Their indicators use algorithms to generate readings based on the flow of news. As the charts below show, there ar… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Risk Retreat Ignites Defensive Rotation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-02 00:18:35:000

By Philip Lawlor, managing director, Global Markets Research Though buoyed by a late rally, global equity markets ended October in negative territory as investors grappled with the prospect of a more aggressive Fed tightening regime despite slowing global growth, simmering US-China trade t… read more...

Synchronization Vs. Desynchronization

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-01 05:30:00:000

Global growth has desynchronized this year, while political trends around the world have become synchronous. Brian Giuliano and Anujeet Sareen, members of our Global Fixed Income team, explain how fiscal and monetary conditions in China as well as the evolution of the U.S.-Sino bilateral relat… read more...

Continuously Misidentifying Constant 'Overseas Turmoil' Leads To Constant Everywhere Turmoil

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-01 05:06:59:000

Overseas turmoil continues in October. The Chinese government released its Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI) for both manufacturing and services. Each one came in at a multi-month low. The National Bureau of Statistics calculated that the manufacturing version was just 50.2 this month, the lo… read more...

Q3 Equity Manager Report: The Froth Has Left The Market

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-11-01 04:47:06:000

Does the stock market still have more to give? Geopolitical concerns are undeniable. Many equity market valuations appear to be expensive. Despite those truths, our manager research team has found that equity managers are generally bullish. 1 We've also seen some managers use the market pul… read more...

Time Travel, New Taxes And GE Collapses (Further)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-31 07:05:15:000

Buenos Aires, Argentina On Sunday, I flew back from New Zealand to my chosen home in Argentina. It was the third time that I've crossed the international date line, but only the first time that I've done it from west to east. The experience was somewhat surreal. My plane took off from Auck… read more...

Revisiting International Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 10:56:43:000

By Benjamin Segal, Senior Portfolio Manager - Head of Global Equity Team; and Elias Cohen, Portfolio Manager - Global Equity Team When a market fall appears indiscriminate, it may be inconsistent with fundamentals and offer an attractive long-term opportunity. Guest columnists Benj… read more...

Revisiting International Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 10:56:43:000

By Benjamin Segal, Senior Portfolio Manager - Head of Global Equity Team; and Elias Cohen, Portfolio Manager - Global Equity Team When a market fall appears indiscriminate, it may be inconsistent with fundamentals and offer an attractive long-term opportunity. Guest columnists Benj… read more...

Fear The L

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 06:21:59:000

It's one thing if China registers a low ceiling or Brazil. That wasn't going to be possible this time in the developed world. Europe and the US were finally going to lead. That's what they said last year, anyway. Markets are freaking out about the growing evidence for so many growth ceilings… read more...

Fear The L

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-29 06:21:59:000

It's one thing if China registers a low ceiling or Brazil. That wasn't going to be possible this time in the developed world. Europe and the US were finally going to lead. That's what they said last year, anyway. Markets are freaking out about the growing evidence for so many growth ceilings… read more...

The Danger Of Elevated Trade Frictions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-27 04:06:28:000

Elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion and is a prime driver of heightened macro uncertainty . The U.S. trade conflict with China is at the heart of higher trade tensions. We find that trade tensions have likely served as a drag on risk assets, e… read more...

The Danger Of Elevated Trade Frictions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-27 04:06:28:000

Elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion and is a prime driver of heightened macro uncertainty . The U.S. trade conflict with China is at the heart of higher trade tensions. We find that trade tensions have likely served as a drag on risk assets, e… read more...

Today's Seismic Shifts And Their Impacts

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-26 11:10:13:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer-Equities; & Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer-Multi-Asset Class A decade after the financial crisis, four key trends are helping to fashion the investment landscape for the next 10 years. The world is u… read more...

Stock Sell-Off Accelerates

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-25 07:34:50:000

Wanaka, South Island, New Zealand The timezone in New Zealand takes some getting used to for a newbie like me. It's 6 P.M. on Thursday as I start typing. That's 6 A.M. in London, 1 A.M. in New York and 8 P.M. on Wednesday in Los Angeles. The world's main markets ground away last night (New… read more...

Chart Of The Week: Death Watch

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-24 00:39:46:000

One relatively obscure technical chart pattern, known ominously as the "death cross", has caught my attention recently. The reason is, if you look across the 70 countries we monitor, almost 80% of markets have seen this omen light up. So, what does it mean for global equities? This week's ch… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-23 04:47:04:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, October 22, 2018. The top performer this year is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.08%. In second place is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 0.95%. In third place is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with … read more...

Watches And Casinos Point To Global Slowing

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-23 00:35:57:000

The US economy has maintained its robust growth this year but the broader global economy cannot boast the same health. Among many others, indicators like Japanese exports, Swiss exports, and German industrial orders are all either in retreat or decelerating at a significant pace. On top of t… read more...

A Lack Of Inspiration

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-22 03:34:43:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Markets seem to be struggling to find a theme to latch on to, so am I. OK, what now? By the time I get into work, I usually have an idea what the key theme for the day, or the week is going to be. Maybe there is a… read more...

This Week In Money - October 20, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-21 01:59:24:000

Ross Clark Gold, Crude. Gerald Celente China, Gold, Oil, Global Economy. Eric Hadik Market Cycles. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of American Manganese Jim Pettit President & CEO of Aben Resources Produced by Read… read more...

Is The Greatest Bull Market Ever Finally Ending? (Hint: Follow The Money)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 09:39:23:000

The key here is the gains generated by owning US-denominated assets as the USD appreciates. Is the Greatest Bull Market Ever finally ending? One straightforward approach to is to follow the money , i.e. global capital flows: assets that attract positive global capital flows will continu… read more...

Is The Greatest Bull Market Ever Finally Ending? (Hint: Follow The Money)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 09:39:23:000

The key here is the gains generated by owning US-denominated assets as the USD appreciates. Is the Greatest Bull Market Ever finally ending? One straightforward approach to is to follow the money , i.e. global capital flows: assets that attract positive global capital flows will continu… read more...

Asset Allocation Update - October 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 02:26:20:000

Read more … read more...

Asset Allocation Update - October 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-19 02:26:20:000

Read more … read more...

The Biggest Risk To The Global Expansion

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-18 11:21:43:000

In her inaugural post, Elga Bartsch explains why elevated trade protectionism marks the greatest downside risk to the global expansion. Our base case is for ongoing robust global growth, fueled by the U.S. What could change this outlook? We believe surging trade tensions remain the biggest… read more...

Sentiment Time

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-17 12:32:41:000

The one thing the globally synchronized growth narrative had going for it was sentiment. It often had that in surplus. But therein lies a major drawback; are people happy because things are getting better, or do they believe things are getting better because "everyone" says so? There's a diffe… read more...

Global Economic Perspective: October

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-17 03:55:32:000

Christopher J. Molumphy, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, John Beck, Director of Fixed Income, London, Senior Vice Presi… read more...

The U.S. Not Alone In Being Oversold

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-16 05:15:39:000

It is no secret that the US has become extremely oversold in the past week, but this weakness extends well outside of our own borders. With the worst of the selloff occurring last Thursday, declines were widespread and extreme. The table below shows the Overbought and Oversold readings of glob… read more...

This Week In Money - October 13, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-14 01:41:48:000

Ross Clark Stock Market Meltdown. Oil. Danielle Park World Debt, Stock Market Decline, Canadas & Australias Collapsing Real Estate Bubbles. Victor Adair Gold, Rising Interest Rates. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of Ame… read more...

This Week In Money - October 13, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-14 01:41:48:000

Ross Clark Stock Market Meltdown. Oil. Danielle Park World Debt, Stock Market Decline, Canadas & Australias Collapsing Real Estate Bubbles. Victor Adair Gold, Rising Interest Rates. Larry Reaugh President & CEO of Ame… read more...

The Financial System Is Stronger, But New Vulnerabilities Have Emerged In The Decade Since The Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-12 03:13:26:000

By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department Although the global expansion has plateaued, easy monetary policies continue to support growth. But we shouldn't rest too easily. Chapter 1 of the latest Global Financial Stability … read more...

The Financial System Is Stronger, But New Vulnerabilities Have Emerged In The Decade Since The Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-12 03:13:26:000

By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department Although the global expansion has plateaued, easy monetary policies continue to support growth. But we shouldn't rest too easily. Chapter 1 of the latest Global Financial Stability … read more...

A Few Additions To The 'Family Album'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 09:36:13:000

I just wanted to add a few more "pictures" as the say in Silicon Valley into what I now call the "Family Album of Markets." There's an ulterior motive for posting these in addition to just making my observations available and that motive is this: I want to make sure this is on the record for p… read more...

Global Growth And Optimism Slide To 2 Year Lows, But Prices Rise At Record Rate

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 08:11:53:000

Global economic growth moderated to a two-year low in September in a broad-based slowdown, according to the latest PMI surveys. Business confidence about the year ahead likewise fell to the gloomiest for two years, suggesting growth may weaken further in coming months. Average prices charged … read more...

The Populist Pathology

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-11 05:14:17:000

The populist pathology is incredibly simple; no one ever takes the blame. Things continually go off-track and officials merely shrug their shoulders and point their fingers. The very idea of accountability is anachronistic. Now that dark clouds are gathering, in the IMF's words , the finger… read more...

Global Growth Plateaus As Economic Risks Materialize

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-10 04:27:30:000

By Maurice Obstfeld, the Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at the International Monetary Fund The latest World Economic Outlook report projects that global growth will remain steady over 2018-19 at last year's rate of 3.7 percent. This growth exceeds that achieved in any of … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-09 03:33:19:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, October 8, 2018. The top performer this year is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.89%. In second is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a gain of 4.48%. In third is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 1…. read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

Are Trade Tensions Slowing Down China's Economy?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-06 07:40:13:000

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Adam Goff, managing director, investment practice, and Sam Templeton, manager, global communications, discussed recently released economic data points for China and the U.S., as well as U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's re… read more...

International Gains Ground As Trade Tensions Ease - Q3 '18 Commentary

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-05 06:45:54:000

Data Source: Bloomberg International Gains Ground as Trade Tensions Ease Source: istockphoto As we write this, it was announced over the last weekend in September that the U.S. and Canada have reached a last-minute accord to revise the North American Free Trade Agreement ((NA… read more...

Lasting Effects: The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After The Crisis

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-05 02:40:41:000

By Wenjie Chen, economist in the IMFs African Department; Mico Mrkaic, senior economist in the IMFs Research Department; Malhar Nabar, Deputy Division Chief of the World Economic Studies Division in the IMF's Research Department In the year following the 2008 financial cris… read more...

Central Bank Credibility Pays Off In Times Of Stress

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-04 07:18:44:000

By Rudolfs Bems , Senior Economist at the Research Department of the IMF, Francesca Caselli , Economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the IMF Research Department, Francesco Grigoli , Economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the IMFs Research Department,… read more...

Rolling Over

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-02 06:17:23:000

Here they come. After spending more than a year talking about nothing but good things ahead for the global economy, Economists are beginning to sound worried. In 2017, there wasn't anything that could stand in the way of synchronized growth. In 2018, there's no longer any synchronized growth, … read more...

Rolling Over

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-02 06:17:23:000

Here they come. After spending more than a year talking about nothing but good things ahead for the global economy, Economists are beginning to sound worried. In 2017, there wasn't anything that could stand in the way of synchronized growth. In 2018, there's no longer any synchronized growth, … read more...

World Exports Fall For First Time In Over 2 Years

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-01 23:48:47:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the first fall in global export orders for over two years in September, according to the latest PMI surveys. The slowdown in trade acted as a further drag on factory output, order book growth and hiring. Price pressures, purchasing activity growth and supply co… read more...

World Exports Fall For First Time In Over 2 Years

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-10-01 23:48:47:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the first fall in global export orders for over two years in September, according to the latest PMI surveys. The slowdown in trade acted as a further drag on factory output, order book growth and hiring. Price pressures, purchasing activity growth and supply co… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

World Trade Growth Defies Trump Tariffs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-27 03:44:16:000

By Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis Despite the ongoing tit-for-tat trade war spat between the US and China, world trade grew in July by 1.1%, pushing up the momentum to 1% July was the first month in which the tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China beca… read more...

Growth In Global Trade Impeded As Tit-For-Tat Tariffs Escalate

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-26 06:09:51:000

By Bluford Putnam The growth in global trade has been impeded by the trade war. Could the escalating tit-for-tat tariffs eventually impact U.S. corporate Read more … read more...

Trade war dimming prospects for large scale M&A, J.P. Morgan banker says

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-24 02:35:22:000

Rising geopolitical tensions and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China will deter companies from carrying out big deals , says Hernan Cristerna, JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM ) global co-head of M&A. More news on: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares… read more...

Trade war dimming prospects for large scale M&A, J.P. Morgan banker says

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-24 02:35:22:000

Rising geopolitical tensions and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China will deter companies from carrying out big deals , says Hernan Cristerna, JPMorgan's (NYSE: JPM ) global co-head of M&A. More news on: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, iShares… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

What Can Go Right In International Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:51:57:000

By Michael Testorf, CFA Growth Drivers Across Regions Currency headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar ((USD)) and a moderate slowing of growth have weighed on international equities in 2018. The escalation of global trade tensions, meanwhile, have hurt investor sentiment, causing w… read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Short And Sharp: Trump Ups The Pressure On Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-21 00:37:19:000

By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Trump's latest round of tariffs, 10% on an additional $200 billion of U.S. imports from China and rising to 25% in the new year, considerably ups the ante in this trade war and pushes China against a brick wall. While … read more...

Markets Diverge From The U.S.

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-20 02:12:54:000

Clarity Financial Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts examines the divergence of world markets to the U.S. and discusses the message they may be sending to Read more … read more...

The Year Of Living Divergently

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 08:17:59:000

By Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class Unusually wide disparities in market returns have been this year's theme, but how long can it last? This year, in CIO Weekly Perspectives and our Asset Allocation Committee meetings, we have repeatedly spoken of global ec… read more...

The Year Of Living Divergently

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 08:17:59:000

By Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class Unusually wide disparities in market returns have been this year's theme, but how long can it last? This year, in CIO Weekly Perspectives and our Asset Allocation Committee meetings, we have repeatedly spoken of global ec… read more...

The Year Of Living Divergently

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 08:17:59:000

By Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class Unusually wide disparities in market returns have been this year's theme, but how long can it last? This year, in CIO Weekly Perspectives and our Asset Allocation Committee meetings, we have repeatedly spoken of global ec… read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Batten Down The Hatches

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-17 03:34:37:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Natural disasters are not the time to be finessing GDP forecasts. After hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut glances Hong Kong and moves on to China With reports putting the death toll in the Philippines at 64, … read more...

Global Economic Perspective: September

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-16 08:26:07:000

By Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; John Beck, Director of Fixed Income, London, Senior Vi… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Global Growth Close To 2-Year Low In Broadening Slowdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-12 08:13:34:000

Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years. The surveys also brought signs of an export-led slowdown spreading to other parts of the economy, including weaker growth of business investment and consumer spen… read more...

Commentary: Jittery Investors Feel Butterflies As Divergence Replaces Central Bank Put

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-11 02:50:19:000

By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Ash Alankar discusses in Pensions & Investments how as central banks begin to step back, other forces are stepping up, making markets more multidimensional. Investors are getting increasingly jittery as a new reality sets in. Since the global financial cr… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-11 00:45:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Two of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, September 10, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 12.15%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.61%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a loss of 0…. read more...

Mind The (U.S.-Germany Yield) Gap

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-10 10:12:20:000

Key Points We see the yield spread between U.S. and German bonds modestly widening on U.S. economic outperformance and policy divergence. Technology stocks led global equities down. The Indonesian rupiah and South African rand joined the emerging market ((EM)) currency rout. This week'… read more...

2018's 'Dogs Of The World' (Stock Market Wrap)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-10 03:10:23:000

During 2018, up until May, the world's major stock markets had similar performance. Since then, the US has pushed higher, whereas most other markets have sunk lower. That performance gap widened considerably during August and early September. Today, I give a snapshot of what's happened and why… read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

Peak Prices, Capital Waves Receding: Tsunami Alert

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-07 07:59:23:000

The Canadian dollar has fallen nearly 5% against the US dollar year-to-date and compared to emerging market ((EM)) currencies that decline is small. Of the 24 most traded EM currencies, only the Mexican Peso has managed to eke out a small gain against the greenback year to date, while several … read more...

International Equities At (Or Near) An Inflection Point

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 07:55:48:000

I continue to believe that threats of potentially prolonged trade wars have served as an emergency brake to a stock market that has been pressing on the gas pedal to try and move forward with a growing global economy serving as a tailwind. As progress is reported with respect to trade negoti… read more...

More Dominos

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 07:17:38:000

You get the impression often that these guys have no idea what drives the dollar. They cling to all sorts of theories, of course, from interest rate differentials to perceptions of economic strength. That seemed to be the case in 2017 and its "weak dollar" environment. Globally synchronized gr… read more...

10 Years After Lehman - Lessons Learned And Challenges Ahead

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-06 06:20:24:000

By Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of IMF A trader on the New York Stock Exchange the day US investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy: the global crisis that followed is a defining moment of our time (Photo: Nancy-Kaszerman/ZUMA Press/Newscom) The global financial cri… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-05 07:58:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 27, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 12.85%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 8.34%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 0.5… read more...

The Global Financial System Is Unraveling, And No, The U.S. Is Not Immune

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-05 07:18:35:000

Currencies don't melt down randomly. This is only the first stage of a complete re-ordering of the global financial system. Take a look at the Shanghai Stock Market (China) and tell me what you see: A complete meltdown, right? More specifically, a four-month battle to cling to the key … read more...

Threat Of 'Currency Bullying'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-09-04 01:21:22:000

On 24 July, the International Monetary Fund released its 2018 External Sector Report, its latest assessment of the current account balances of the worlds 30 largest economies. There was no major change relative to previous years, and the configuration of global surpluses and deficits… read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

Yet Another Lesson In Nightmares

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-30 05:30:58:000

I don't know how many different ways I can write this. Reserves are not insurance against monetary reversal, they are the calamity. If you have them, that only means you have a problem. And if you have a lot of them, well… The Financial Times , on Tuesday , wrote again about Argentina.... read more...

U.S. As % Of World Stock Market Cap Tops 40% Again

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-29 06:44:56:000

Below is a look at each country's percentage of total world stock market capitalization based on Bloomberg indices. (We only include the 35 largest countries by market cap in the table.) For each country, we show its current percentage of world market cap, where it stood on Election Day 2016… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-28 06:26:53:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 27, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 14.44%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 8.35%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a … read more...

Global Economy On Precipice Of Secular Decline: Detailed Via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, And Consumption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 08:13:07:000

Many look at global population growth as a given to greater consumption… and looking at the chart below of total global population set to hit 7.8 billion by 2020, one might be forgiven for this viewpoint. However, the reality, when one looks into the numbers, is that growth in global consump... read more...

Global Economy On Precipice Of Secular Decline: Detailed Via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, And Consumption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 08:13:07:000

Many look at global population growth as a given to greater consumption… and looking at the chart below of total global population set to hit 7.8 billion by 2020, one might be forgiven for this viewpoint. However, the reality, when one looks into the numbers, is that growth in global consump... read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - In Sovereign Debt Investing, U.S. Dollar Direction Is Critical

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 05:27:42:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the last of a four-part series on investing in global sovereign debt markets, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg discusses opportunities to find value. Key Takeaways Slowing growth means bond yields may trend lower in Canada and Australia, while the accelerating U.S… read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - In Sovereign Debt Investing, U.S. Dollar Direction Is Critical

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-26 05:27:42:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the last of a four-part series on investing in global sovereign debt markets, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg discusses opportunities to find value. Key Takeaways Slowing growth means bond yields may trend lower in Canada and Australia, while the accelerating U.S… read more...

International Economic Week In Review For August 20-24

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-25 02:17:45:000

In Canada, retail sales were down .2% , which followed a strong gain of 2.2% in the preceding month. Sales were down at auto dealerships, while activity increased at grocery stores and restaurants. On an inflation-adjusted basis, sales have been mostly flat for the last few years: Rem… read more...

Global PMIs Hang In There And That's The Bad News

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-24 07:30:50:000

At this particular juncture eight months into 2018, the only thing that will help is abrupt and serious acceleration. On this side of May 29 , it is way past time for it to get real. The global economy either synchronizes in a major, unambiguous breakout or markets retrench even more. Tha… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-22 02:01:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 20, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 13.21%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.86%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-22 02:01:11:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 20, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 13.21%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.86%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

'This Time Is Different' - But Is It Really?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 09:23:38:000

Efforts to justify the lofty levels of today's markets and especially the FANG stocks are sometimes difficult to comprehend. The general consensus prior to the election of Donald Trump as President was that his election would spell certain doom for both the economy and markets in general. Prio… read more...

The Best Thing You'll Read On Turkey

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 06:20:39:000

I 've been thinking about whether or not to write something about the crisis unfolding in Turkey, but there are much smarter people out there doing the legwork for me. Chief amongst them is Brad Setser at CFR. This post of his is tremendously good. It might get a little confusing for some, s… read more...

Richard Duncan: Full-Blown Trade War Would Crash The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 05:46:49:000

By FS Staff Richard Duncan, writer and publisher at Macro Watch , warned on FS Insider that a full-blown trade war between the U.S. and China would lead to a spike in inflation, interest rates, and, if pushed too far, a cratering of the global economy into another Great Depression. Sound … read more...

Hopefully, Turkey Isn't The Trigger To A Global Economic Calamity

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-21 05:22:21:000

Over the past few days, there has been an almost 20 percent rebound in the Turkish lira from the all-time lows that it plumbed earlier in the week. It would be a mistake to think that this signals the end of the Turkish currency crisis. More important yet, it would be a mistake for U.S. poli… read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - U.S. Dollar Rally Drives Global Risk, Puts Pressure On Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 05:36:21:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the third of a four-part series, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg looks at the impact that a fluctuating U.S. dollar has on emerging market debt. Despite stronger sensitivity to movement in the U.S. dollar and other challenges within emerging markets, we still think … read more...

Global Viewpoints: Sovereign Debt - U.S. Dollar Rally Drives Global Risk, Puts Pressure On Emerging Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 05:36:21:000

By Ryan Myerberg In the third of a four-part series, Portfolio Manager Ryan Myerberg looks at the impact that a fluctuating U.S. dollar has on emerging market debt. Despite stronger sensitivity to movement in the U.S. dollar and other challenges within emerging markets, we still think … read more...

Market Update: August Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 01:13:17:000

By OpenMarkets Although historically a quiet month, August has been anything but. Jack Bouroudjian tells us to pay attention to the rising dollar, rotation out of tech stocks and the global news headlines that have been driving the markets for the rest of the Read more … read more...

Market Update: August Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-19 01:13:17:000

By OpenMarkets Although historically a quiet month, August has been anything but. Jack Bouroudjian tells us to pay attention to the rising dollar, rotation out of tech stocks and the global news headlines that have been driving the markets for the rest of the Read more … read more...

This Is Your Time Machine: Stock Markets In The Second Half Of The Year

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-16 14:14:53:000

History is no prologue, but for stock markets, past performance often gives us clues about the future. Weve written before about the January barometer, the notion that stock market performance in January foreshadows market performance for the full year. So if stock … read more...

This Is Your Time Machine: Stock Markets In The Second Half Of The Year

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-16 14:14:53:000

History is no prologue, but for stock markets, past performance often gives us clues about the future. Weve written before about the January barometer, the notion that stock market performance in January foreshadows market performance for the full year. So if stock … read more...

This Is Your Time Machine: Stock Markets In The Second Half Of The Year

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-16 14:14:53:000

History is no prologue, but for stock markets, past performance often gives us clues about the future. Weve written before about the January barometer, the notion that stock market performance in January foreshadows market performance for the full year. So if stock … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 09:02:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 13, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 11.33%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 5.55%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 09:02:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, August 13, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 11.33%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 5.55%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a… read more...

Monetary Policy May Have Been Overly Aggressive

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 03:24:03:000

Martin Sandbu's characterization of world central bank policy since 2008 as timid sits most uncomfortably with the facts ("The devastating cost of central bank inaction," August 8). Never before have the world's major central banks kept interest rates so low for so long as they have done ove… read more...

Monetary Policy May Have Been Overly Aggressive

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-14 03:24:03:000

Martin Sandbu's characterization of world central bank policy since 2008 as timid sits most uncomfortably with the facts ("The devastating cost of central bank inaction," August 8). Never before have the world's major central banks kept interest rates so low for so long as they have done ove… read more...

Global Growth Cools At Start Of Q3 Amid Survey Record Price Rise

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-13 04:10:00:000

Read more … read more...

What Could A Trade War Mean For U.S. Macro Fundamentals?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-12 07:47:35:000

Posted by James Ong, Senior Macro Strategist on Aug 10, 2018, in Fixed Income The growing prospect of a global trade war presents major consequences for global markets, and the implications are difficult to assess. Because the past 30 years have consisted of generally expanding t… read more...

Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Impolitic Politics

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 10:47:33:000

Back to Argentina, back to the big city, back to a massive new corruption and bribery scandal. It's sweeping up senior functionaries of the previous government, implicates the last president (and the one before that), and many business people have already turned themselves in. Also, it was d… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Fault Lines In The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-08 03:21:41:000

Markets often fail to predict major market-moving events even though in retrospect, they should have been obvious to anticipate. A prime example of such a failure was the 2008 global market bust, which followed the extraordinary U.S. housing and credit market bubble. An earlier example was t… read more...

Country Risk: A Midyear Update For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-07 07:40:29:000

While political and trade wars are brewing around the world, centered on globalization, the enduring truth is that the globalization genie is out of the bottle, and no political force can put it back. Encouraged to spread their bets around the world, investors have shed some of the home bias i… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-07 05:47:15:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Friday, August 6, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 11.47%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 6.61%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 3.10… read more...

The Threat Of A Trade War To The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-07 03:00:08:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns Many had hoped the announcement last month of 10% tariffs on China would be the signal for serious negotiations between the two trading partners, that China may come to the table and be willing to discuss some of the U.S.s genuine concerns about … read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

Heightened Volatility Rattles Global Markets, But The U.S. Economy Shows No Signs Of Weakening

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-04 01:40:59:000

By Clas Olsson, CIO, Senior Portfolio Manager on Aug. 2, 2018, in Equities So how did earnings expectations respond to the second-quarter pickup in volatility? For international markets, the second quarter of 2018 was marked by continued volatility. Quantitative tightening, balance… read more...

'Growth' Still Has Gas Left In The Tank - July 2018 Market Commentary

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-03 10:27:31:000

Data Source: Bloomberg Growth Still Has Some Gas Left in the Tank Source: istockphoto As we write this July 2018 Market Commentary, the U.S. technology and communication sector, which had sharply reversed following poor 2Q earnings releases from FAANG bellwether… read more...

Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - August 2, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-03 02:29:03:000

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) edged higher in July, inching up to an annualized 4.9% - slightly above the previous month's estimate . The projected return over the "risk-free" rate is a long-run estimate for GMI, an unmanaged market value-weighted portfolio that … read more...

Investing For The 'Long Run'? You May Want To Consider This

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-01 09:55:57:000

While this blog's day is done…thought I'd offer a simple fact sheet to reference when discussing where and among whom the global population is growing, stalling, and/or shrinking. This article breaks down the world into four groups of nations based on the World Bank's gross national income (... read more...

Investing For The 'Long Run'? You May Want To Consider This

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-08-01 09:55:57:000

While this blog's day is done…thought I'd offer a simple fact sheet to reference when discussing where and among whom the global population is growing, stalling, and/or shrinking. This article breaks down the world into four groups of nations based on the World Bank's gross national income (... read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-31 04:38:03:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Friday, July 30, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 10.89%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.82%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 3.44%…. read more...

Crash Test Dummies

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-30 10:24:21:000

By Brad Tank, Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income Dropping the threat of higher auto tariffs was an important step back from a global trade war. Some people like things shiny and new. Others prefer the proven and time-worn. As far as automobiles go, I'm deeply rooted in cars from the… read more...

KKR Insights Global Macro Trends: New Playbook Required

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-30 03:38:27:000

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The Next 18 Months

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-30 02:21:36:000

No one doubts that Trump's economic agenda, especially the tax cuts, will be a shot of adrenalin for our economy near term. However most of the pundits/skeptics feel that the afterglow will dissipate rapidly as we move into 2019 and beyond. We disagree! The pundits/skeptics look at each piece … read more...

Investing Newsletter - July 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-29 10:22:09:000

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Quarterly Market Review Q2 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-29 10:06:03:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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Mid-Year Global Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 07:52:37:000

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World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

World Central Banks Doing The Heavy Stock Market Lifting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-25 05:56:05:000

The purpose of this article is to graphically show and describe how the central banks ((CB)) of most countries have been supporting asset prices with their balance sheets. The central bank with the most experience in supporting markets is the Central Bank of Japan (BOJ). The chart below show… read more...

Where To Invest Your Money Today (Part 1 Of 2)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-24 20:06:43:000

Jordan Roy-Byrne: Hello again everyone, welcome back to the Atlas Investor podcast with Tiho Brkan. This is episode number 18. Tiho, my friend, it's great to speak with you again today. I understand we're going to be doing a two-part podcast. Today will be the first part of that. Please … read more...

Where To Invest Your Money Today (Part 1 Of 2)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-24 20:06:43:000

Jordan Roy-Byrne: Hello again everyone, welcome back to the Atlas Investor podcast with Tiho Brkan. This is episode number 18. Tiho, my friend, it's great to speak with you again today. I understand we're going to be doing a two-part podcast. Today will be the first part of that. Please … read more...

Where To Invest Your Money Today (Part 1 Of 2)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-24 20:06:43:000

Jordan Roy-Byrne: Hello again everyone, welcome back to the Atlas Investor podcast with Tiho Brkan. This is episode number 18. Tiho, my friend, it's great to speak with you again today. I understand we're going to be doing a two-part podcast. Today will be the first part of that. Please … read more...

Global Economic Perspective: July

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-24 06:14:56:000

By Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; David Zahn, CFA, FRM Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; John Beck Director of Fixed Income, London Senior Vice P… read more...

U.S. As Revisionist Power Remains Biggest Risk For Investors

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-21 08:30:14:000

A new front opened in the effort by the Trump Administration to reorient the global political economy. Trade actions, including the claim that steel and aluminum from Canada, Europe, and Japan are threats to US national security, have been coupled now with an attack on EU commercial practice… read more...

U.S. As Revisionist Power Remains Biggest Risk For Investors

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-21 08:30:14:000

A new front opened in the effort by the Trump Administration to reorient the global political economy. Trade actions, including the claim that steel and aluminum from Canada, Europe, and Japan are threats to US national security, have been coupled now with an attack on EU commercial practice… read more...

U.S. As Revisionist Power Remains Biggest Risk For Investors

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-21 08:30:14:000

A new front opened in the effort by the Trump Administration to reorient the global political economy. Trade actions, including the claim that steel and aluminum from Canada, Europe, and Japan are threats to US national security, have been coupled now with an attack on EU commercial practice… read more...

Decoupling Reborn

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-20 03:44:30:000

The term "decoupling" was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that year (because of nothing other than subprime mortgages, naturally) the rest of the world would be insulated from any fallout. EM economies like Ch… read more...

Shifting Tides: Policy Challenges And Opportunities For The G-20

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-19 02:46:19:000

By Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund The artist Claude Monet once said, "I worked without stopping, for the tide at this moment is just as I need it." As the Group of Twenty finance ministers gather this week at the banks of the Rio de la Plata in Bu… read more...

What Will Happen When The Market Has A Down Year?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-19 02:00:39:000

Global equity markets continued to advance. Last week's newsletter noted the importance of closing the week above the all-important 2750 level in the EMINI SP500 Sept contract. We knew this level was huge, considering the close below on June 29th sent the contract below our 7-week moving avera… read more...

Perspectives On Disruption

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-18 07:56:11:000

By Stephen H. Dover, CFA Executive Vice President, Head of Equities As our analysts and researchers travel the world surveying businesses, they hear a lot about disruption - the ability of new, often technology-backed companies to disrupt the status quo. Yet, our experience and insight te… read more...

World Debt Explodes: $30 Trillion In 5 Quarters

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-18 03:49:29:000

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Gauging The Market Impact Of Global Trade Tensions

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 15:37:55:000

Global trade tensions are earning investor attention, but how might they affect markets and portfolios? Isabelle looks to some new BlackRock analysis for answers. Global trade disputes are the subject of nearly daily headlines. Tit-for-tat tariffs between the U.S. and China risk breaking… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 06:11:39:000

By Jill Mislinski Three of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, July 16, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 7.43%. In second is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.67%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 1.82%…. read more...

Russell Napier Warns Of Global Monetary Breakdown

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 05:59:10:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe for a free trial by clicking here . FS Insider recently interviewed Russell Napier, well-known financial historian and co-founder of the Electronic Research Interchange ((ERIC)), to discuss a breakdow… read more...

The Global Expansion: Still Strong But Less Even, More Fragile, Under Threat

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-17 03:26:17:000

By Maurice Obstfeld, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research at IMF Amid rising tensions over international trade, the broad global expansion that began roughly two years ago has plateaued and become less balanced. In our latest World Economic Outlook Update , we continue to proj… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

Market Voice: The Ebb And Flow In Global Markets

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-14 07:19:21:000

By Pierre Vidal The March Market Voice focused on three factors which explained the seemingly perverse EUR strength in the face of an increasing USD interest rate advantage: The EUR was historically cheap in real terms when it bottomed. Central bank - especially China - diversifica… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-11 06:13:00:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, July 9, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 6.28%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.14%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-11 06:13:00:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, July 9, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 6.28%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.14%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-11 06:13:00:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, July 9, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 6.28%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.14%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gain… read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

A Stagflationary Storm Is Brewing, Warns Greg Weldon

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-06 04:50:52:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe on iTunes here In a recent hour-long interview with Financial Sense Newshour , Greg Weldon at Weldon Online discussed his just-released 150-page special report, "Shelter from the Storm," looking at … read more...

Near-Stagnant Exports Push Global Manufacturing PMI To 11-Month Low

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-05 05:08:56:000

Worldwide manufacturers reported the weakest rise in export orders for two years in June, contributing to the slowest improvement in business conditions for almost a year. Concerns about escalating trade wars also pushed business confidence down to a 19-month low. Prices meanwhile rose at the … read more...

Up In Quality In Credit

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-03 23:36:12:000

Key points Rising economic uncertainty argues for exposure to higher-quality positions in credit. Global equity markets fell last week, and oil prices rose. The U.S. dollar strengthened. China's Shanghai Composite Index entered a bear market. The June U.S. employment report is unlikely… read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

A New Geography Of Development Finance

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-07-01 08:21:39:000

Especially since the early 2000s, large emerging countries have become important providers of development funds. Shifting wealth has allowed governments to tap a bigger pool of 'transformative infrastructure finance' (Xu and Carey, 2017) and to choose from more financing options. From a long-t… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

2018 Global Market Outlook - Q3 Update: Trade-War Tightrope

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:38:32:000

Synopsis The two key global market trends of early 2018 - U.S. growth leadership and the U.S. dollar bounce - have probably run their course. Be alert for an escalation in the trade war issue , and keep an eye on the yield curve for a U.S. recession warning, although a recession seems unlik… read more...

There Is Only One Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:07:17:000

IHS Markit reported last week that its composite Purchasing Managers Index ((PMI)) rebounded slightly in its first reading for June 2018. In January, the index had managed nearly 59, the highest in a very long time. It was taken as a definitive sign that Europe's economy was not only booming, … read more...

There Is Only One Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:07:17:000

IHS Markit reported last week that its composite Purchasing Managers Index ((PMI)) rebounded slightly in its first reading for June 2018. In January, the index had managed nearly 59, the highest in a very long time. It was taken as a definitive sign that Europe's economy was not only booming, … read more...

There Is Only One Global Trade War

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 06:07:17:000

IHS Markit reported last week that its composite Purchasing Managers Index ((PMI)) rebounded slightly in its first reading for June 2018. In January, the index had managed nearly 59, the highest in a very long time. It was taken as a definitive sign that Europe's economy was not only booming, … read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Economic Preparedness: The Need For Fiscal Space

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-28 03:55:15:000

By Vikram Haksar, Chief of the Advanced Economies and Multilateral Surveillance Issues Division in the IMFs Strategy Policy and Review department; Marialuz Moreno Badia, a deputy division chief in the IMFs Fiscal Affairs Department; Catherine Pattillo is an Assistant Director,… read more...

Crescat Capital End Of June 2018 Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-27 05:48:52:000

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Global Debt Binge Setting Us Up For A Pounding Economic Headache

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-27 04:14:23:000

Anyone doubting that there is a material risk that that the next global economic recession will be of the more severe than normal variety has not been paying attention to the massive build-up in global debt levels over the past decade. Nor have they been paying attention to the unusually low i… read more...

Watching And Waiting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-25 00:11:05:000

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Watching And Waiting

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-25 00:11:05:000

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Will Global Trade Threats Derail Global Growth?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-22 03:32:23:000

Escalating trade tensions, rising oil prices and higher interest rates are starting to erode synchronized global growth. Beata Caranci, Chief Economist , TD Bank , talks to Kim Parlee about how these events may play out and what is in store for the rest of the Read more … read more...

Will Global Trade Threats Derail Global Growth?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-22 03:32:23:000

Escalating trade tensions, rising oil prices and higher interest rates are starting to erode synchronized global growth. Beata Caranci, Chief Economist , TD Bank , talks to Kim Parlee about how these events may play out and what is in store for the rest of the Read more … read more...

Will Global Trade Threats Derail Global Growth?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-22 03:32:23:000

Escalating trade tensions, rising oil prices and higher interest rates are starting to erode synchronized global growth. Beata Caranci, Chief Economist , TD Bank , talks to Kim Parlee about how these events may play out and what is in store for the rest of the Read more … read more...

Markets Facing A 'Time Of Reckoning,' Says OMFIF's David Marsh

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-20 04:05:06:000

By FS Staff Listen to this podcast on our site by clicking here or subscribe today by clicking here . Things are likely to get bumpy, and a "time of reckoning" is coming for global markets and economies, David Marsh, co-founder and chairman of the Official Monetary and Finan… read more...

The Trade War's Collateral Damage

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-20 01:59:08:000

In choosing to ratchet up trade tensions with China at this juncture, the Trump administration seems to be overlooking the importance of both the emerging market economies and China to the global economy. This is all the more difficult to understand considering that according to IMF estimate… read more...

What's The Mid-Year Economic Outlook For World Cup Countries?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 17:24:06:000

As we predicted in our outlook six months ago, the first half of 2018 was marked by rising geopolitical tensions, major fiscal and political changes, and diverging monetary policy. These factors created a rise in volatility that was made more pronounced by the global economy nearing the end of… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 03:03:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 18, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.13%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 3.75%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a gai… read more...

Global Economic Perspective: June

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-19 01:56:25:000

By Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, David Zahn, CFA, FRM Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, John Beck Director of Fixed Income, London Senior Vice P… read more...

Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-14 09:06:14:000

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3 Things To Think About When It Comes To Trade

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-13 05:26:34:000

As the Trump administration continues to threaten tariffs targeting a variety of imported goods, from electronics to washing machines to automobiles, many market commentators have suggested the US-led trade skirmishes could turn into a trade war. While the fear of a potential trade war has h… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-12 05:33:30:000

By Jill Mislinski Six of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 11, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 4.94%. In second place is our own S&P 500 with a gain of 4.05%. In third place is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with … read more...

New Opportunities In Chinese Equities

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-11 09:59:40:000

Key points The gradual inclusion of China A-shares in MSCI indexes creates new opportunities in Chinese equities, supporting our preference for EM Asia. Last week's market tone was risk-on. Global stocks rallied, led by the U.S. Brazil's real plummeted and then rebounded, while the eu… read more...

Corporations continue profit-shifting to tax havens even with lower tax rates: WSJ

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-11 08:10:50:000

Multinational companies move about 40% of the profits they earn outside of their home countries into tax havens, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing a study by economists Thomas Torslov and Ludvig Wier of the University of Copenhagen and Gabriel Zucman of the University of … read more...

Crescat Capital May 2018 Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-11 07:20:43:000

Originally posted on Read more … read more...

Competing Narratives

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-11 02:04:36:000

I have two objectives with this week's missive. I want to contrast what I think are the two prevailing narratives used to explain markets in the first half of the year. And then I want to have a look at the durability of large-cap equity earnings because it seems to be crucial to what happens … read more...

Buffett And Dimon Play The Long Ball

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-11 01:47:27:000

Warren Buffett's and Jamie Dimon's editorial in the WSJ, followed by their interview on CNBC on Friday, was another great learning experience from the best of the best for those wanting to learn how to successfully invest and create wealth. The main thrust of their comments was that CEOs sho… read more...

'Will The Real Global Economy Please Stand Up'

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-10 12:18:45:000

To say I've become skeptical of "markets" and their movements is probably an understatement. However, rather than waste more time trying to make sense of these skewed markets, I believe real economic activity is more accurately represented by changing populations and their energy consumption. … read more...

Trade Tensions Risk Undermining The G-7

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-10 08:46:15:000

Originally published June 9, 2018 The U.S. could be backed into a corner, making discussion of any other critical issue all but impossible. Pity the participants in the Group of Seven meeting this weekend. The summit, which has been a collaborative gathering for like-minded countries for… read more...

OANDA Market Insights With Jazz FM - 8 June 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-10 03:10:16:000

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam and Jazz FM Business Breakfast presenter Jonny Hart look back at the weeks business and market news. This weeks big stories: G7 talks weigh on markets, sterling falls on Brexit proposals, ECB remarks hit Read more … read more...

China Vs. The Rest: Double The Growth Expectations At Comparable Valuations

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 14:26:48:000

By Bradley Krom, Associate Director of Research and Matt Wagner, Research Analyst Higher earnings growth tends to coincide with valuation premiums, and Chinese equities are no exception. By nature of the country's fast-paced economic growth and the rising market capitalization of the Informa… read more...

China Vs. The Rest: Double The Growth Expectations At Comparable Valuations

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 14:26:48:000

By Bradley Krom, Associate Director of Research and Matt Wagner, Research Analyst Higher earnings growth tends to coincide with valuation premiums, and Chinese equities are no exception. By nature of the country's fast-paced economic growth and the rising market capitalization of the Informa… read more...

China Vs. The Rest: Double The Growth Expectations At Comparable Valuations

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 14:26:48:000

By Bradley Krom, Associate Director of Research and Matt Wagner, Research Analyst Higher earnings growth tends to coincide with valuation premiums, and Chinese equities are no exception. By nature of the country's fast-paced economic growth and the rising market capitalization of the Informa… read more...

CEO View: What's Changed 10 Years After The Global Financial Crisis?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:46:42:000

At Franklin Templeton's recent Global Investor Forum in New York, our CEO, Greg Johnson, participated in a panel discussion with three other CEOs in the financial services industry: James Gorman of Morgan Stanley, Jay Hooley of State Street and Barry Stowe of Jackson National Life. They discu… read more...

CEO View: What's Changed 10 Years After The Global Financial Crisis?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:46:42:000

At Franklin Templeton's recent Global Investor Forum in New York, our CEO, Greg Johnson, participated in a panel discussion with three other CEOs in the financial services industry: James Gorman of Morgan Stanley, Jay Hooley of State Street and Barry Stowe of Jackson National Life. They discu… read more...

CEO View: What's Changed 10 Years After The Global Financial Crisis?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:46:42:000

At Franklin Templeton's recent Global Investor Forum in New York, our CEO, Greg Johnson, participated in a panel discussion with three other CEOs in the financial services industry: James Gorman of Morgan Stanley, Jay Hooley of State Street and Barry Stowe of Jackson National Life. They discu… read more...

Lost Decades: Italy 3 - Japan 0

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:31:12:000

The last decade has not been good for many advanced economies. The Global Financial Crisis, a second recession in the Euro area and central banks hitting the zero lower bound have led to disappointing GDP growth rates. But GDP growth rates can be a misleading indicator about the true performan… read more...

Lost Decades: Italy 3 - Japan 0

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:31:12:000

The last decade has not been good for many advanced economies. The Global Financial Crisis, a second recession in the Euro area and central banks hitting the zero lower bound have led to disappointing GDP growth rates. But GDP growth rates can be a misleading indicator about the true performan… read more...

Lost Decades: Italy 3 - Japan 0

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 08:31:12:000

The last decade has not been good for many advanced economies. The Global Financial Crisis, a second recession in the Euro area and central banks hitting the zero lower bound have led to disappointing GDP growth rates. But GDP growth rates can be a misleading indicator about the true performan… read more...

Markets Eyeing More Hikes Around The World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 06:43:07:000

Each week, we publish a Fixed Income Weekly , a recap of interest rate and credit markets in the US and around the world. In addition to charts and tables keeping track of performance and levels for fixed income assets in the US and around the world, we also present a weekly trade idea an… read more...

Markets Eyeing More Hikes Around The World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 06:43:07:000

Each week, we publish a Fixed Income Weekly , a recap of interest rate and credit markets in the US and around the world. In addition to charts and tables keeping track of performance and levels for fixed income assets in the US and around the world, we also present a weekly trade idea an… read more...

Markets Eyeing More Hikes Around The World

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-07 06:43:07:000

Each week, we publish a Fixed Income Weekly , a recap of interest rate and credit markets in the US and around the world. In addition to charts and tables keeping track of performance and levels for fixed income assets in the US and around the world, we also present a weekly trade idea an… read more...

It's A Dollar Double Whammy, Just Not Theirs

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-06 07:04:43:000

First it was inflation. No, it was nuclear war in Korea. Then something about T-bills and government debt. And the ECB tapering while others were, too. Of course, before any of those there was 2a7. There's always something, it seems, something different every time. Maybe it's not any of them? … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-05 06:13:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Five of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, June 4, 2018. The top performer this year is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 3.61%. In second is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 3.55%. In third is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 3.02%…. read more...

Global Manufacturing PMI At 9-Month Low Amid Near-Stagnation Of Worldwide Exports

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-04 11:44:02:000

PMI survey data indicate that global manufacturing growth eased to a nine-month low in May, largely reflecting a waning of global trade flows to the weakest for over one-and-a-half years. However, the US continued to show notable resilience to the wide trade slowdown. Manufacturing PMI at ni… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

Measuring The Market Impact Of Geopolitical Risks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-03 07:16:46:000

Estimating how - and exactly which - geopolitical events may affect markets and portfolios can be a challenge. Isabelle explains how our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard can help. Italian elections, Middle East tensions, trade frictionsgeopolitical risks abound. Yet estima… read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

A Bad Blow For Global Growth

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-06-01 06:54:05:000

By Robert Carnell, Chief Economist Head of Research, Asia-Pacific Trump administration decides to put tariffs on steel and aluminium on Canada, Mexico, EU etc. With allies like these… After reflection, higher tariffs are still damaging to the US/global economy This is a bad day... read more...

Will China Export Volatility As Equity Markets Open?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-31 19:48:07:000

By John Lin China's markets are opening to the world - but be aware of the potential for unintended consequences. As more money flows into domestic Chinese stocks from abroad, more money is also flowing out of China, which may trigger volatility in regional markets. Global investors are … read more...

Global Equity Fundamentals At A Cyclical Strong Point

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-30 23:52:27:000

Equity market fundamentals are looking pretty strong around the world. Key indicators like interest coverage ratios and profit margins have improved to cyclical highs. Interest coverage has also been helped by a couple of notable trends such as lower borrowing costs. But, somewhat counterint… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-30 15:23:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Tuesday, May 29, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 3.36%. In second is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 2.36%. In third is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 1.89%… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-30 15:23:17:000

By Jill Mislinski Four of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Tuesday, May 29, 2018. The top performer this year is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 3.36%. In second is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 2.36%. In third is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 1.89%… read more...

Faking GDP Growth: In The U.S. And Elsewhere

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-27 07:15:05:000

Structural factors make low economic growth a virtual certainty in the US and most other developed countries. But that doesn't stop governments from trying to fake GDP growth. There's no way out of the quagmire, so governments will continue to borrow and spend until the end. Unless… read more...

Faking GDP Growth: In The U.S. And Elsewhere

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-27 07:15:05:000

Structural factors make low economic growth a virtual certainty in the US and most other developed countries. But that doesn't stop governments from trying to fake GDP growth. There's no way out of the quagmire, so governments will continue to borrow and spend until the end. Unless… read more...

Faking GDP Growth: In The U.S. And Elsewhere

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-27 07:15:05:000

Structural factors make low economic growth a virtual certainty in the US and most other developed countries. But that doesn't stop governments from trying to fake GDP growth. There's no way out of the quagmire, so governments will continue to borrow and spend until the end. Unless… read more...

Faking GDP Growth: In The U.S. And Elsewhere

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-27 07:15:05:000

Structural factors make low economic growth a virtual certainty in the US and most other developed countries. But that doesn't stop governments from trying to fake GDP growth. There's no way out of the quagmire, so governments will continue to borrow and spend until the end. Unless… read more...

Emerging And Developed Markets Have Been Equally Volatile

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-24 01:45:38:000

Global Equity FVMR Snapshot Fundamentals: US still offers the highest ROE Global markets have a return on equity ((ROE)) of 14.0% and a 39.1% dividend payout ratio ((DPR)) according to consensus expectations. In 2018, Emerging markets are expected to be slightly less profitable with an RO… read more...

Emerging And Developed Markets Have Been Equally Volatile

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-24 01:45:38:000

Global Equity FVMR Snapshot Fundamentals: US still offers the highest ROE Global markets have a return on equity ((ROE)) of 14.0% and a 39.1% dividend payout ratio ((DPR)) according to consensus expectations. In 2018, Emerging markets are expected to be slightly less profitable with an RO… read more...

Emerging And Developed Markets Have Been Equally Volatile

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-24 01:45:38:000

Global Equity FVMR Snapshot Fundamentals: US still offers the highest ROE Global markets have a return on equity ((ROE)) of 14.0% and a 39.1% dividend payout ratio ((DPR)) according to consensus expectations. In 2018, Emerging markets are expected to be slightly less profitable with an RO… read more...

Emerging And Developed Markets Have Been Equally Volatile

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-24 01:45:38:000

Global Equity FVMR Snapshot Fundamentals: US still offers the highest ROE Global markets have a return on equity ((ROE)) of 14.0% and a 39.1% dividend payout ratio ((DPR)) according to consensus expectations. In 2018, Emerging markets are expected to be slightly less profitable with an RO… read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-23 10:50:46:000

Danielle was a guest with Kerry Lutz on The Financial Survival Network, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here. Here is a direct audio link. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-23 10:50:46:000

Danielle was a guest with Kerry Lutz on The Financial Survival Network, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here. Here is a direct audio link. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-23 10:50:46:000

Danielle was a guest with Kerry Lutz on The Financial Survival Network, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here. Here is a direct audio link. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

Do You Own Enough International Stocks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-22 21:21:06:000

By Talley Lger, Equity Strategist In our conversations with investors, one of the most common questions we hear is: How much international exposure should we have in our equity portfolios? Admittedly, it is difficult to answer that question without knowing a numbe… read more...

Do You Own Enough International Stocks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-22 21:21:06:000

By Talley Lger, Equity Strategist In our conversations with investors, one of the most common questions we hear is: How much international exposure should we have in our equity portfolios? Admittedly, it is difficult to answer that question without knowing a numbe… read more...

Do You Own Enough International Stocks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-22 21:21:06:000

By Talley Lger, Equity Strategist In our conversations with investors, one of the most common questions we hear is: How much international exposure should we have in our equity portfolios? Admittedly, it is difficult to answer that question without knowing a numbe… read more...

Productivity Is The West's Conundrum

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-22 07:58:59:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns It is a question we often see on the financial pages of newspapers or news sites but rarely take time to seriously consider the consequences - why is the West apparently in a period of stagnant productivity growth? A recent article in The Telegraph … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-22 05:57:13:000

By Jill Mislinski Six of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, May 21, 2018. The top performer this year is France's CAC 40 with a gain of 6.12%. In second is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 4.40%. In third is India's BSE SENSEX with a gain of 2.38%. … read more...

Summer Of Volatility: Building A Geopolitical Protector Portfolio

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-18 04:23:10:000

North Korean peace talks, a U.S. embassy in Jerusalem, a trade war with China, NAFTA negotiations and the Donald Trump presidency; all this amounts to a confluence of global risks and tensions. Marko Papic, Senior Vice President and Chief Geopolitical Strategist, BCA Research, speaks to K… read more...

Webcast: An Investment Playbook For Global Stagflation

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-17 14:52:58:000

Is Your Portfolio Prepared For Global Stagflation? Because if our analyst forecasts are correct, global growth is starting to slow and inflation is picking up. There are significant investing implications. We just hosted a special webcast on this very subject: "Investment Playbook … read more...

Is The Global Trading System A Bust? (Part 1)

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-17 09:27:45:000

Original Post By Stuart Burns The Economist asked the question in a debate that has been running over the last few weeks, stimulated in part by President Trump's unprecedented actions on tariffs and quotas aimed at perceived cheaters of the global trading system. The article summar… read more...

How In Sync Are Global Central Banks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 08:51:52:000

By Kevin Flanagan, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Without much fanfare, the Federal Reserve (Fed) provided its policy guidance earlier this month. Although no rate hike was implemented, the money and bond markets fully expect the U.S. central bank to continue on its tightening path for the… read more...

How In Sync Are Global Central Banks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 08:51:52:000

By Kevin Flanagan, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Without much fanfare, the Federal Reserve (Fed) provided its policy guidance earlier this month. Although no rate hike was implemented, the money and bond markets fully expect the U.S. central bank to continue on its tightening path for the… read more...

How In Sync Are Global Central Banks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 08:51:52:000

By Kevin Flanagan, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Without much fanfare, the Federal Reserve (Fed) provided its policy guidance earlier this month. Although no rate hike was implemented, the money and bond markets fully expect the U.S. central bank to continue on its tightening path for the… read more...

How In Sync Are Global Central Banks?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 08:51:52:000

By Kevin Flanagan, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Without much fanfare, the Federal Reserve (Fed) provided its policy guidance earlier this month. Although no rate hike was implemented, the money and bond markets fully expect the U.S. central bank to continue on its tightening path for the… read more...

Global Equity Valuations: Cheaper Now, But It's Still All Relative

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 03:26:30:000

The global equity market correction has driven a reset in a number of market metrics such as sentiment (both economic sentiment and investor sentiment), fund flows, positioning, volatility, and of particular interest - valuations. Yet as much as there has been a minor adjustment in valuations,… read more...

Global Equity Valuations: Cheaper Now, But It's Still All Relative

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 03:26:30:000

The global equity market correction has driven a reset in a number of market metrics such as sentiment (both economic sentiment and investor sentiment), fund flows, positioning, volatility, and of particular interest - valuations. Yet as much as there has been a minor adjustment in valuations,… read more...

Global Equity Valuations: Cheaper Now, But It's Still All Relative

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 03:26:30:000

The global equity market correction has driven a reset in a number of market metrics such as sentiment (both economic sentiment and investor sentiment), fund flows, positioning, volatility, and of particular interest - valuations. Yet as much as there has been a minor adjustment in valuations,… read more...

Global Equity Valuations: Cheaper Now, But It's Still All Relative

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-16 03:26:30:000

The global equity market correction has driven a reset in a number of market metrics such as sentiment (both economic sentiment and investor sentiment), fund flows, positioning, volatility, and of particular interest - valuations. Yet as much as there has been a minor adjustment in valuations,… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-15 04:27:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Six of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, May 14, 2018. The top performer this year is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 5.42%. In second placec is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.16%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a ga… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-15 04:27:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Six of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, May 14, 2018. The top performer this year is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 5.42%. In second placec is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.16%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a ga… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-15 04:27:24:000

By Jill Mislinski Six of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through Monday, May 14, 2018. The top performer this year is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 5.42%. In second placec is India's BSE Sensex with a gain of 5.16%. In third place is France's CAC 40 with a ga… read more...

Global Outlook: Papering Over The Cracks

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-12 05:32:45:000

By Global Economics Team As trade tensions mount, is the global economy heading into a storm? Read our latest economic update to see what our economists and strategists are thinking. Papering over the cracks 2017 provided plenty of upside growth surprises, which may have led to… read more...

Global Consumer Sentiment Supports Bullish Growth View

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-12 00:47:26:000

There is a little-watched and relatively obscure set of indicators produced by Thomson Reuters and Ipsos , called the primary consumer sentiment indexes. These provide a standardized approach to measuring consumer sentiment across a number of countries, and provide timely insight into consu… read more...

Talking Trade Tensions, Inflation And Volatility

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-11 06:24:31:000

By Stephen H. Dover, CFA Executive Vice President, Head of Equities; Christopher J. Molumphy, CFA Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; Edward D. Perks, CFA Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Multi-… read more...

Putting America's Enormous $19.4 Trillion Economy Into Perspective By Comparing U.S. State GDPs To Entire Countries

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-10 04:41:42:000

The map above was created (with assistance from AEI's graphic design director Olivier Ballou) by matching the economic output (Gross Domestic Product) for each US state (and the District of Columbia) in 2017 to a foreign country with a comparable nominal GDP last year, using data from the BEA… read more...

Global Pensions Are The Next Major Crisis, Says Martin Armstrong

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-10 03:15:19:000

By FS Staff For issuers of debt (borrowers), interest rates are the cost to borrow funds; for buyers of debt (lenders), it is the rate of return they get for lending money. After the 2008 financial crisis, central banks dropped interest rates to the lowest levels in recorded history. Thi… read more...

Some Unpleasant Surprises About The Global Economy

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-09 03:13:32:000

Something unusual has happened to the global economic surprise indexes. Not only have the emerging markets and G10 indexes fallen sharply, but the breadth of global economic surprise indexes has dropped to levels rarely seen outside of recession. The chart in question comes from a broader … read more...

Is The 'Synchronized' Global Expansion Really In Sync?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-05-09 02:29:46:000

By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on May 7, 2018, in Market & Economic Weekly Market Compass: While some countries economic expansions are aging, others are just getting started "Getting long in the tooth" is an interesting way to describe somet… read more...

Central Banks Holding Steady, But Promise More Rate Hikes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 06:35:43:000

By Ryan McMaken In all cases - The Fed, the Bank of Canada, the BofE, the BOJ, and the Bank of Australia - central bankers said they expected to raise rates more in the near future. Even at the Bank of Japan, which has been especially dovish and pro-QE in recent years, the bank scaled bac… read more...

Central Banks Holding Steady, But Promise More Rate Hikes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 06:35:43:000

By Ryan McMaken In all cases - The Fed, the Bank of Canada, the BofE, the BOJ, and the Bank of Australia - central bankers said they expected to raise rates more in the near future. Even at the Bank of Japan, which has been especially dovish and pro-QE in recent years, the bank scaled bac… read more...

Central Banks Holding Steady, But Promise More Rate Hikes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 06:35:43:000

By Ryan McMaken In all cases - The Fed, the Bank of Canada, the BofE, the BOJ, and the Bank of Australia - central bankers said they expected to raise rates more in the near future. Even at the Bank of Japan, which has been especially dovish and pro-QE in recent years, the bank scaled bac… read more...

Central Banks Holding Steady, But Promise More Rate Hikes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 06:35:43:000

By Ryan McMaken In all cases - The Fed, the Bank of Canada, the BofE, the BOJ, and the Bank of Australia - central bankers said they expected to raise rates more in the near future. Even at the Bank of Japan, which has been especially dovish and pro-QE in recent years, the bank scaled bac… read more...

Central Banks Holding Steady, But Promise More Rate Hikes

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 06:35:43:000

By Ryan McMaken In all cases - The Fed, the Bank of Canada, the BofE, the BOJ, and the Bank of Australia - central bankers said they expected to raise rates more in the near future. Even at the Bank of Japan, which has been especially dovish and pro-QE in recent years, the bank scaled bac… read more...

Global Earnings Remain Robust

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 05:07:23:000

Investors may find comfort with one key fundamental: continuing robust expectations for global earnings. As we highlight in our Market Maps Monthly Performance Report for January, the consensus EPS growth forecast for the FTSE All-World Index is currently 16% for 2018. That's up from forecas… read more...

Global Earnings Remain Robust

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 05:07:23:000

Investors may find comfort with one key fundamental: continuing robust expectations for global earnings. As we highlight in our Market Maps Monthly Performance Report for January, the consensus EPS growth forecast for the FTSE All-World Index is currently 16% for 2018. That's up from forecas… read more...

Global Earnings Remain Robust

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 05:07:23:000

Investors may find comfort with one key fundamental: continuing robust expectations for global earnings. As we highlight in our Market Maps Monthly Performance Report for January, the consensus EPS growth forecast for the FTSE All-World Index is currently 16% for 2018. That's up from forecas… read more...

Global Earnings Remain Robust

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 05:07:23:000

Investors may find comfort with one key fundamental: continuing robust expectations for global earnings. As we highlight in our Market Maps Monthly Performance Report for January, the consensus EPS growth forecast for the FTSE All-World Index is currently 16% for 2018. That's up from forecas… read more...

Global Earnings Remain Robust

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-09 05:07:23:000

Investors may find comfort with one key fundamental: continuing robust expectations for global earnings. As we highlight in our Market Maps Monthly Performance Report for January, the consensus EPS growth forecast for the FTSE All-World Index is currently 16% for 2018. That's up from forecas… read more...

Bloodbath In The Global Stock Markets - What's Next?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 07:02:15:000

By Christian Schoubye, Communications Officer The sell-off in the global stock market is escalating. Listen here to our founder and CEO Lars Christensen who gives his take on the situation. Lars also looks ahead and looks at drivers for the markets going forward. Read Lars' comments fr… read more...

Bloodbath In The Global Stock Markets - What's Next?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 07:02:15:000

By Christian Schoubye, Communications Officer The sell-off in the global stock market is escalating. Listen here to our founder and CEO Lars Christensen who gives his take on the situation. Lars also looks ahead and looks at drivers for the markets going forward. Read Lars' comments fr… read more...

Bloodbath In The Global Stock Markets - What's Next?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 07:02:15:000

By Christian Schoubye, Communications Officer The sell-off in the global stock market is escalating. Listen here to our founder and CEO Lars Christensen who gives his take on the situation. Lars also looks ahead and looks at drivers for the markets going forward. Read Lars' comments fr… read more...

Technical Review And Outlook - February 1, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 03:45:32:000

Read more … read more...

Technical Review And Outlook - February 1, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 03:45:32:000

Read more … read more...

Technical Review And Outlook - February 1, 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-07 03:45:32:000

Read more … read more...

Global Market Sentiment Turmoil Warrant Portfolio Diversification

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-06 07:44:33:000

"Strong global market sentiment for risky assets, a weakened dollar and geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East underline the need for a long-term multi-asset portfolio," asserts a leading global analyst at one of the world's largest international advisory organisations. deVere Group's Inter… read more...

Adestella Investment Management Q4 2017 Investor Letter

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-06 07:33:44:000

Read more … read more...

The Unsung Hero Of The Current Global Expansion

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-05 23:36:30:000

There's an unsung hero in the global economy's recent performance. Jean explains. Our BlackRock Growth GPS shows the synchronized global expansion carrying on into 2018, with developed market ((DM)) growth serving as the main engine powering the cycle further. Within developed market… read more...

January Global Manufacturing PMI Signals Solid Start To 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-04 10:02:53:000

Global manufacturing started 2018 on an upbeat note, with businesses registering one of the strongest expansions for seven years. The headline JPMorgan Manufacturing PMI, compiled by IHS Markit, registered 54.4 in January, down from 54.5 in December but nevertheless recording the second-high… read more...

January Global Manufacturing PMI Signals Solid Start To 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-04 10:02:53:000

Global manufacturing started 2018 on an upbeat note, with businesses registering one of the strongest expansions for seven years. The headline JPMorgan Manufacturing PMI, compiled by IHS Markit, registered 54.4 in January, down from 54.5 in December but nevertheless recording the second-high… read more...

How Global And Synchronized Is A Boom Without China?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 01:01:01:000

According to Chinas official PMIs, those looking for a boom to begin worldwide in 2018 after it failed to materialize in 2017 are still to be disappointed. If there is going to be globally synchronized growth, it will have to happen without Chinas participation in it. Of course… read more...

How Global And Synchronized Is A Boom Without China?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 01:01:01:000

According to Chinas official PMIs, those looking for a boom to begin worldwide in 2018 after it failed to materialize in 2017 are still to be disappointed. If there is going to be globally synchronized growth, it will have to happen without Chinas participation in it. Of course… read more...

How Global And Synchronized Is A Boom Without China?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 01:01:01:000

According to Chinas official PMIs, those looking for a boom to begin worldwide in 2018 after it failed to materialize in 2017 are still to be disappointed. If there is going to be globally synchronized growth, it will have to happen without Chinas participation in it. Of course… read more...

How Global And Synchronized Is A Boom Without China?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 01:01:01:000

According to Chinas official PMIs, those looking for a boom to begin worldwide in 2018 after it failed to materialize in 2017 are still to be disappointed. If there is going to be globally synchronized growth, it will have to happen without Chinas participation in it. Of course… read more...

International Equity: 3 Key Insights For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 00:04:52:000

By William Davies, Global Head of Equities Investing overseas may cause some hesitation because of past economic struggles. But there's some good potential abroad. Here's why. After talking with many investors and advisors in 2017, we got a lot of questions around international equity…. read more...

International Equity: 3 Key Insights For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 00:04:52:000

By William Davies, Global Head of Equities Investing overseas may cause some hesitation because of past economic struggles. But there's some good potential abroad. Here's why. After talking with many investors and advisors in 2017, we got a lot of questions around international equity…. read more...

International Equity: 3 Key Insights For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 00:04:52:000

By William Davies, Global Head of Equities Investing overseas may cause some hesitation because of past economic struggles. But there's some good potential abroad. Here's why. After talking with many investors and advisors in 2017, we got a lot of questions around international equity…. read more...

International Equity: 3 Key Insights For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-02 00:04:52:000

By William Davies, Global Head of Equities Investing overseas may cause some hesitation because of past economic struggles. But there's some good potential abroad. Here's why. After talking with many investors and advisors in 2017, we got a lot of questions around international equity…. read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-01 06:42:00:000

Danielle was a guest on The Financial Survival Network with Kerry Lutz, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here . Disclosure: Read more … read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-02-01 06:42:00:000

Danielle was a guest on The Financial Survival Network with Kerry Lutz, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here . Disclosure: Read more … read more...

Globally Synchronized What?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 07:08:25:000

In one of those rare turns, the term "globally synchronized growth" actually means what the words do. It is economic growth that for the first time in ten years has all the major economies of the world participating in it. It's the kind of big idea that seems like a big thing we all should pay… read more...

Globally Synchronized What?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 07:08:25:000

In one of those rare turns, the term "globally synchronized growth" actually means what the words do. It is economic growth that for the first time in ten years has all the major economies of the world participating in it. It's the kind of big idea that seems like a big thing we all should pay… read more...

Globally Synchronized What?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 07:08:25:000

In one of those rare turns, the term "globally synchronized growth" actually means what the words do. It is economic growth that for the first time in ten years has all the major economies of the world participating in it. It's the kind of big idea that seems like a big thing we all should pay… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 06:49:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Seven of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 10.19%, followed by our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.45%. In third is Bombay's BSE SENSEX with 6.62%. Coming … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 06:49:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Seven of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 10.19%, followed by our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.45%. In third is Bombay's BSE SENSEX with 6.62%. Coming … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-30 06:49:51:000

By Jill Mislinski Seven of eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 10.19%, followed by our own S&P 500 with a gain of 7.45%. In third is Bombay's BSE SENSEX with 6.62%. Coming … read more...

Danielle On This Week In Money

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 16:10:05:000

Danielle was a guest on This Week in Money with Jim Goddard, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here . Disclosure: Read more … read more...

Danielle On This Week In Money

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 16:10:05:000

Danielle was a guest on This Week in Money with Jim Goddard, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here . Disclosure: Read more … read more...

Danielle On This Week In Money

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 16:10:05:000

Danielle was a guest on This Week in Money with Jim Goddard, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment here . Disclosure: Read more … read more...

Just What The Doctor Ordered

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 04:47:26:000

How things have improved. Two years ago, there was quite a scary situation in the world economy. Brexit, eurozone elections, explosive situations. China devaluation risk, capital outflows. Emerging market dollar denominated debt. Euro implosion would have triggered the latter two thr… read more...

Just What The Doctor Ordered

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 04:47:26:000

How things have improved. Two years ago, there was quite a scary situation in the world economy. Brexit, eurozone elections, explosive situations. China devaluation risk, capital outflows. Emerging market dollar denominated debt. Euro implosion would have triggered the latter two thr… read more...

Just What The Doctor Ordered

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-29 04:47:26:000

How things have improved. Two years ago, there was quite a scary situation in the world economy. Brexit, eurozone elections, explosive situations. China devaluation risk, capital outflows. Emerging market dollar denominated debt. Euro implosion would have triggered the latter two thr… read more...

The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-28 08:25:07:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities, and Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class There are two kinds of people: Those who are prepared for elevated risks, and those who aren't. We were in London last week, expanding on … read more...

The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-28 08:25:07:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities, and Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class There are two kinds of people: Those who are prepared for elevated risks, and those who aren't. We were in London last week, expanding on … read more...

The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-28 08:25:07:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities, and Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class There are two kinds of people: Those who are prepared for elevated risks, and those who aren't. We were in London last week, expanding on … read more...

The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-28 08:25:07:000

By Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer - Equities, and Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer - Multi-Asset Class There are two kinds of people: Those who are prepared for elevated risks, and those who aren't. We were in London last week, expanding on … read more...

January 2018 Data Update 5: Country Risk Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-25 08:42:01:000

In my last post , I looked at the currency confusions that globalization has brought into financial analysis, and how to clean up for them. In this post, I discuss the other aspect of globalization that is forcing analysts to change long accepted practices in estimating equity risk premiums f… read more...

January 2018 Data Update 5: Country Risk Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-25 08:42:01:000

In my last post , I looked at the currency confusions that globalization has brought into financial analysis, and how to clean up for them. In this post, I discuss the other aspect of globalization that is forcing analysts to change long accepted practices in estimating equity risk premiums f… read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-24 06:02:47:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 10.07%, followed by Shanghai's SSE with a gain of 7.24%. In third place is Bombay's BSE Sensex with 6.88%. Coming in last … read more...

3 Things That Scare Me For 2018

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-24 02:35:34:000

I'm known to be an optimist, a guy that will always tell you that today is the best day to invest your money since you missed yesterday! While I'm confident that I will have another great year in the stock market, I'm also not a lunatic with pink glasses either. Unfortunately, there ar… read more...

The Market Sentimentalist - Are We There Yet?

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-23 06:09:40:000

By Amareos The calendar year may have changed recently, but the underlying trend in global equity markets has not. The bulls are still in charge and the major indices have all continued to track higher (talk about year-highs when it is only a handful of days old is simply ridiculous althou… read more...

Danielle On The Financial Survival Network

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-18 03:29:03:000

Danielle was a guest on The Financial Survival Network with Kerry Lutz, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. You can listen to an audio clip of the segment by clicking the play button below. Disclosure: No Read more … read more...

World Markets Update

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-18 02:21:51:000

By Jill Mislinski All eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. The top performer is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 6.64%, followed by Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a gain of 5.21%. In third place is Shanghai's SSE with a 3.91% gain. Coming in … read more...

Shifting Wealth And Global Wealth Inequality

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-17 08:21:33:000

Piketty's (2014) celebrated analysis has focused on wealth inequality within countries 1 . But world wealth inequality also depends on the rise or fall of wealth in different countries and regions. An important element in the current evolution of wealth inequality is the role played by the fas… read more...

Look Beneath The Surface Of World Bank's Rosy Economic Report

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-17 06:41:26:000

The World Bank's report that the global economy is now operating at close to full capacity would seem to be a mixed blessing. On the one hand, there is certainly reason to celebrate that we are now at last enjoying a synchronized global economic recovery and that the world economy is opera… read more...

The Top 10 PE10 Part 2

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-17 05:33:20:000

Here's an updated scan across countries and regions to find the top (and bottom) PE10, and follows on from a previous version I shared back in August last year. Briefly on methodology, the PE10 is a stock market valuation metric which compares the stock index to the average earnings of the p… read more...

Encouraging Backdrop For Investors As 2018 Gets Under Way

via: SeekingAlpha at 2018-01-17 03:20:34:000

By Daniel J. Loewy; Martin Atkin; Karen Watkin As the new year begins to unfold, the environment for risk assets is still benign: the global economy is strong, monetary policy is accommodative, and volatility is low and steady. At this point, we don't see excesses developing that could cha… read more...

Ex-Date Payment Date Record Date Declared Date Amount Flag Dividend Type Qualified Indicated
2017-12-19 2017-12-26 2017-12-20 2016-12-28 0.352788 Dividend income
2017-06-20 2017-06-26 2017-06-22 2017-06-19 0.243309 Dividend income
2016-12-21 2016-12-28 2016-12-23 2016-12-20 0.23977 Dividend income
2016-06-22 2016-06-28 2016-06-24 2016-06-21 0.227895 Dividend income
2015-12-21 2015-12-28 2015-12-23 2015-12-18 0.103705 Dividend income
2015-06-25 2015-07-01 2015-06-29 2015-06-24 0.111075 Dividend income
Ex-Date Declared Date Record Date Payment Date Ratio To Factor For Factor
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